Fairly merely a majority of 24,239 has by no means earlier than been surmounted in a Westminster by-election. It is a big hurdle for the LDs to overturn particularly as they begin in third place.
Even when that is lowered to only one vote on Thursday Johnson and his supporters will be capable of declare an enormous victory which can embolden them for the longer term. This could be despite the just about sure lack of Wakefield which can be on Thursday. A LAB victory there was discounted from the second the earlier Tory MP was despatched to jail and the polls have proven LAB leads of 20k+
There haven’t been any polls in Tiverton. On the betting markets, punters fee the LDs possibilities at 74%.