The Week That Was: 2023-01-28 (January 28, 2023)
Delivered to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge
Quote of the Week: “I don’t know what’s the matter with folks: they don’t be taught by understanding; they be taught by another means—by rote or one thing. Their data is so fragile!” — Richard Feynman
Variety of the Week: 31 years
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge (SEPP)
Scope: TWTW will talk about the next points: SEPP submitted feedback to the US International Change Analysis Program on the draft of the newest Nationwide Local weather Evaluation (NCA5). Curiously, many on the workers of NCA5 are representatives of NOAA at North Carolina State College. Though SEPP expects nothing will come of its feedback, we introduced good scientific factors for the report.
Jordan Peterson has a fascinating interview of Steven Koonin in regards to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) studies and related issues. A College professor at NYU, Koonin has served because the Division of Vitality’s Below Secretary for Science, as Chief Scientist for BP, and as professor and Provost at Caltech. He’s a member of the Nationwide Academy of Sciences, a Governor of Lawrence Livermore Nationwide Laboratory, a senior fellow of Stanford’s Hoover Establishment, and a Trustee of the Institute for Protection Analyses. Koonin holds a BS in physics from Caltech and a Ph.D. in theoretical physics from MIT. He wrote: Unsettled: What Local weather Science Tells Us, What It Doesn’t, and Why It Issues, beforehand reviewed in TWTW.
Tom Nelson has a thought-provoking interview of AMO physicist Howard Hayden “The IPCC does NOT apply the Stefan-Boltzmann regulation to their outcomes” This goes on to the false claims by some world local weather modelers that their fashions are primarily based on first ideas of physics. Which means they assert their fashions are primarily based on primary legal guidelines of physics the place nothing is assumed. As mentioned in final week’s TWTW evaluate of Tim Palmer’s e book, this isn’t true. Rising water vapor just isn’t doubling the temperature impression of carbon dioxide.
One subject within the NCA5 that SEPP didn’t deal with is its part on agriculture which invoked the concern of famine. That is mentioned and the contradictory proof is introduced.
Jennifer Marohasy introduced proof that the Australian Bureau of Meteorology is recording excessive temperatures with out utilizing procedures that meet the requirements required by the UN World Meteorological Group when the Bureau changed mercury bulb devices with quick recording probes.
In a column within the Wall Avenue Journal, Bjorn Lomborg responded to non-public assaults about polar bears. His response is mentioned on a number of blogs.
Paul Homewood exposes Protecting Local weather Now, a company selling concern of local weather change. It could clarify why so many deceptive tales seem nearly concurrently in lots of publications.
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Ignoring the Want for Proof: SEPPs feedback on NCA5 are summarized beneath:
“Said are among the explanation why the Science and Environmental Coverage Challenge (SEPP) considers the NCA5 insufficient for assembly the acknowledged public objective. In abstract, the USGCRP fails in its mandate to perceive, assess, predict, and reply to human-induced and pure processes of world change for the next causes:
Level one is roofed by the essay by Ian Plimer within the Jan 14 TWTW. Level two is roofed by the studies by John Christy and his testimonies to the US Congress. Level three is roofed by Roy Spencer’s month-to-month studies of atmospheric temperature developments in TWTW, and the UAH month-to-month studies. Factors 4 and 5 are introduced beneath:
Ignores Unbiased Measurements of the Greenhouse Impact: Utilizing over 50 years of atmospheric measurements from spectroscopic devices on climate balloons, the HITRAN database can be utilized to instantly calculate the greenhouse results of main greenhouse gases. The database has been mentioned in quite a few peer-reviewed scientific papers that NCA5 doesn’t contemplate.
Professors van Wijngaarden (College of York) and Happer (Princeton) used the HITRAN database to calculate the comparatively efficiency of assorted greenhouse gasoline molecules and their focus with altitude. They write:
“Radiation switch within the cloud-free ambiance is managed by the temperature T = T(z) on the altitude z. Fig. 1 [not shown here] exhibits the midlatitude atmospheric temperature profile. The ambiance was divided into 5 layers every having fixed lapse fee. We characterize the temperature profile with six breakpoints, with temperatures θα = [288.7, 217.2, 217.2, 229.2, 271.2, 187.5] in items of Kelvins at altitudes ζα = [0, 11, 20, 32, 47, 86] in km, the place α = 0, 1, …, 5. Every of the 5 atmospheric layers was additional subdivided into 100 sublayers. [Boldface added]
“The usual concentrations for the ith greenhouse gasoline, C {i} sd , primarily based on observations [6, 15, 16], are proven as capabilities of altitude on the fitting of Fig. 1. The ocean degree concentrations for 2020 had been estimated to be 7,750 ppm of H2O, 1.8 ppm of CH4, 0.32 ppm of N2O and 10 ppt of SF6. The O3 focus peaks at 7.8 ppm at an altitude of 35 km, whereas the concentrations of CO2 and CF4 had been 400 ppm and 86 ppt respectively, in any respect altitudes. Integrating the concentrations over an atmospheric column having a cross sectional space of 1 cm2 yields the column quantity density of the ith sort of molecule Nˆ {i} sd listed in Desk 1.” (not included right here)
This determine exhibits that the focus of water vapor drops quickly with altitude within the troposphere, in contrast to CO2 which is fixed. The drop in focus of water vapor corresponds with the drop in temperature within the troposphere, the well-established lapse fee of temperature. Word that the HITRAN database permitted Prof. Wijngaarden and Happer to divide the troposphere, 8 to 14 km, into 500 sublayers – a level of precision that’s inconceivable within the ensemble process utilized in world local weather fashions.
For world local weather fashions, a typical grid for your entire ambiance has vertical grids as few as 2 to as many as about 20. Typical world fashions have a horizontal grid spacing of about 500 km (300 miles). Most world fashions have decision too coarse to acknowledge the Nice Lakes, and a few ignore the Florida peninsula. With such coarse decision, the fashions don’t embody the atmospheric temperature lapse fee that has been identified for over 50 years.
Palmer describes how local weather modeling has run strongly into diminishing returns. As pc energy will increase, grid layers are added or grid packing containers made smaller, however the return on the trouble is quickly changing into smaller. This restrict is basically ignored by these supporting the modeling group, nevertheless it signifies {that a} new method is required, such because the one being utilized by Wijngaarden and Happer. Utilizing HITRAN, they’re able to calculate an higher sure for warming as a consequence of a doubling of carbon dioxide utilizing fastened relative humidity. That quantity is about 1.4 C, far lower than the common present in NCA5.” [Boldface added]
“Ignores Primary Physics: The Stefan-Boltzmann regulation is effectively established and extensively utilized in physics and engineering. It’s the regulation upon which all infrared thermometers work. It states that the radiation emitted from the floor of an object in house is the same as a continuing occasions the temperature in Kelvin raised to the fourth energy. It’s wonderful, but true, that the IPCC, upon whose musings NCA5 depends, has by no means utilized this essential regulation to their predicted temperatures. Had they performed so, they might instantly see the absurdity of their outcomes: the anticipated temperatures result in floor radiation far in extra of the anticipated capability of the greenhouse gases to restrain it. There could be no excuse for NCA5 to disregard this essential IPCC failure.” [Boldface added]
The majority of the workers listed in NCA5 are representatives of NOAA. We count on that the ideologically pushed workers is not going to make any effort to make obligatory modifications to NCA5 to have it conform to bodily proof. Primarily NCA5 includes an imaginary ambiance barely associated to that of Earth. See hyperlink below Defending the Orthodoxy.
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Complicated Issues: In a wide-ranging interview carried out by Jordan Peterson, Steven Koonin discusses what he has realized in his diverse profession. He spent 5 years as chief scientist at BP, a big a part of it studying what many teachers don’t perceive in regards to the petroleum trade. Though this expertise is utilized by critics to accuse him of being a shill for the trade, Koonin is aware of issues in regards to the trade the critics fail to comprehend, together with its monumental scale. To assume Europe and North America can simply change fossil fuels with energy from wind and photo voltaic is preposterous.
Additionally, Koonin realized that the trade is about earning profits legally and predictably. Reliability is essential, and it’s far tougher than simply balancing equations. Eliminating chemical fuels is tough, it doesn’t matter what the favored press claims. Making chemical fuels from organic sources is extraordinarily tough. The price of breaking down cellulose is daunting and little progress is being made.
Germany is discovering among the difficulties of changing fossil fuels with wind and photo voltaic. They’ve a time period for the issue which interprets to “darkish stillness” which is to be anticipated from wind and solar energy. Merely, wind and photo voltaic could be supplemental, but it surely can’t be the spine of a contemporary electrical grid. Germany ignored scientific and technological-economic realities.
The North American commonplace for grid reliability is someday of failure each ten years (99.97% reliability). Wind and photo voltaic can not hope to match it. For apart from hydro or nuclear energy, we should select two of three traits: dependable, reasonably priced, or non-CO2 emitting? If we go closely into unreliable techniques. akin to wind and photo voltaic, for a steady provide of electrical energy, two parallel techniques are wanted. How do you compensate the system that isn’t being employed? Local weather and power are advanced, nuanced topics for which soundbites don’t work.
Koonin asks what’s the morality of denying 6.5 billion folks entry to reasonably priced power which about 1.5 billion folks take pleasure in.
In addressing the claims arising from IPCC studies, Koonin discusses that since 1900 the globe has warmed about 1.3°C. We’ve seen the best enchancment in human betterment ever seen. Per capita GDP has gone up by 7, longevity up from 32 years to 72 years, literacy up, excessive poverty down. One other 1.3°C enhance is not going to reverse the progress we now have made. The notion of a local weather disaster is nonsense. It’s not primarily based on knowledge within the IPCC studies.
What do the IPCC studies really say? They can’t discover developments within the knowledge – storms, sea degree rise, and so on. The studies think about human induced local weather change and largely ignore pure modifications. If one compares summaries with precise studies – there’s a large disconnect. The disconnect grows with reporting, politicians, and so on. No motive to ring alarm bells.
Koonin goes into the advantages of including CO2 to the ambiance. Vegetation don’t lose water as quickly – there was a 40% enhance in greening the earth for the reason that Eighties. Agriculture yields are higher. These elements are much more essential to humanity than local weather change.
In discussing mass extinctions that are actually being claimed even by geologists, Koonin asks how effectively have they reproduced the previous? This query highlights why TWTW considers the scales of time mentioned by Ian Plimer essential. Should you don’t perceive the previous, you can’t reliably forecast the long run. See hyperlinks below Difficult the Orthodoxy and Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science.
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Requirements of Failing: Tom Nelson’s interview of Atomic, Molecular, and Optical (AMO) physicist Howard Hayden begins with Hayden explaining that he tries to maintain all power discussions in standardized items which means worldwide system items – joules. (one kilowatt hour (kWh) a measure of consumption is the same as 3,600,000 joules).
Since its second evaluation report (SAR, 1995), the IPCC has produced warmth steadiness charts of the globe. But it surely has produced no warmth steadiness charts for any of its predictions for any of its fashions. It could’t, as a result of utilizing the Stefan-Boltzmann regulation, its forecasts produce absurd outcomes with will increase in floor emission far exceeding the anticipated radiative forcing wanted to dam them.
If the floor will increase by 3°C, then the Stefan-Boltzmann regulation says the floor emissions enhance by 16.7 W/m2. Based on the IPCC a possible vary 2°C to five°C, then Stefan-Boltzmann regulation says floor emissions should enhance by 11.1 to twenty-eight.1 W/m2. The Sixth Evaluation Report (AR6, 2021) is the primary to say the Stefan-Boltzmann regulation explicitly. AR 6 states including greenhouse gases to the ambiance will enhance greenhouse blocking by greenhouse gases by 3.7 W/m2 – completely inconsistent with the claimed enhance in temperatures. The IPCC is coping with an imaginary ambiance. See Ignores Primary Physics above, and hyperlink below Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Staggering Agricultural Improve: Though the US Division of Agriculture participates in NCA5, it ignores the staggering enhance in farm productiveness since 1900, when about 40% of the US workforce was instantly concerned in agriculture. Right this moment, it’s lower than 2%. This lower outcomes from changing working livestock (estimated by to 21.6 million in 1900) with extra environment friendly and decrease upkeep tools akin to tractors, creating excessive bred and GMO crops, use of manufactured fertilizer, and so on.. Those that dream of an easier life on the farm by no means skilled rural poverty on a chilly, winter morning with no operating water and flush bathrooms. Writing in India, Vijay Javaraj provides a sign of the transformation that’s occurring there and within the creating world, which environmentalists want to cease. See hyperlink below Agriculture Points & Worry of Famine and https://www.ers.usda.gov/webdocs/publications/44197/13566_eib3_1_.pdf
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High quality Management: Jennifer Marohasy asserts that:
“Obtainable Australian Bureau of Meteorology parallel most temperature knowledge for Mildura – temperatures recorded from each a mercury thermometer and a platinum resistant probe on the identical day in the identical shelter – present no equivalence. They’re totally different,”
The Bureau has made many replacements with out noting the distinction in devices. The platinum resistance probes report nearly instantaneously whereas mercury bulb thermometers require a couple of minutes. A couple of minutes could be a main distinction when recording every day excessive temperatures. That is however one instance of the necessity for standardization intervals when devices are changed. Such standardization intervals are typically ignored by these reporting floor temperatures. Roy Spencer and John Christy have rigorously maintained data when satellite tv for pc devices are modified or seem to make uncommon recordings of atmospheric temperature developments. See hyperlinks below Measurement Points – Floor and Litigation Points.
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Actual Polar Bear Numbers? Writing within the Wall Avenue Journal, Bjorn Lomborg acknowledged that polar bear numbers are growing. So known as “reality checkers” personally criticized his analysis. Individually, the problem is mentioned effectively by Paul Homewood and Susan Crockford. It seems that “reality checkers” don’t know the place to seek out information. See hyperlinks below Speaking Higher to the Public – Go Private.
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Information Blasts: Questionable “information” are shortly unfold by the trendy media. Paul Homewood has discovered one group partially accountable: Protecting Local weather Now. Its web site states:
“We assist our information media colleagues cowl the defining story of our time with the rigor and urgency it deserves.”
“Co-founded by the Columbia Journalism Assessment and The Nation in affiliation with The Guardian and WNYC in 2019, CCNow’s 460-plus companions embrace among the largest names in information, and among the smallest, as a result of this story wants everybody. Along with three of the world’s largest information businesses — Reuters, Bloomberg, and Agence France Presse — every of which supplies content material to 1000’s of different newsrooms, our companions embrace CBS Information, NBC and MSNBC Information, Noticias Telemundo, PBS NewsHour, Univision, Al Jazeera; many of the largest public radio stations within the US; many flagship newspapers and TV networks within the Americas, Europe, and Asia; and dozens of main magazines and journals, together with Nature, Scientific American, Rolling Stone, HuffPost, Teen Vogue, and Mom Jones.”
“Below companions, Establishments:
American Geophysical Union & Eos Journal; Local weather Central & Local weather Issues George Mason College; Columbia College Middle on International Vitality Coverage; MIT Environmental Options Initiative; Princeton College; UC Berkeley’s Graduate College of Journalism; The Lancet Countdown on Local weather Change and Well being”
Individually, Robert Bryce discusses the Local weather Crucial Basis which he phrases as:
“the most recent and richest anti-hydrocarbon, anti-natural gasoline group you’ve by no means heard of.”
He identifies the 4 people who fund the muse closely. What folks do with their cash is their enterprise, besides after they attempt to persuade folks to assume and act otherwise. A century in the past, Andrew Carnegie gave a fortune to libraries to assist folks to be taught and assume independently, dispelling myths. Right this moment, it seems some philanthropists are giving fortunes to advertise group assume, increasing myths. See hyperlinks below Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda and Funding Points
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Past Groupthink: The 15th Local weather Change Convention by The Heartland Institute can be held from February 23 to 25, 2023, on the Hilton Lake Buena Vista in Orlando, Florida. It’ll characteristic over 40 audio system, together with members of the SEPP Board of Administrators, Willie Quickly and David Legates. Tom Sheahen, Howard “Cork” Hayden, and Ken Haapala will deal with the query: “Is Local weather Science Scientific?” (title could change) See https://climateconference.heartland.org/
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Variety of the Week: 31 years It has taken the IPCC 31 years (from the primary report, 1990 to AR6, 2021) to acknowledge the Stefan-Boltzmann regulation which is effectively established and extensively utilized in physics and engineering. It’s the regulation upon which all infrared thermometers work. It states that the radiation emitted from the floor of an object in house is the same as a continuing occasions the temperature in Kelvin raised to the fourth energy. And through this time the science has been settled? See Ignores Primary Physics, above and hyperlink below Difficult the Orthodoxy
Suppressing Scientific Inquiry
Extraordinary Resignation by a Geology Professor: ‘I really feel the career…is now not worthy of my efforts’
By Anthony Watts, WUWT, Jan 25, 2023
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About International Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
International Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Information
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Temporary, Could 20, 2019
Unsettled: Local weather and Science | Dr. Steven Koonin
By Jordan Peterson, Through WUWT, Jan 17, 2023
Howard Hayden: “The IPCC does NOT apply the Stefan-Boltzmann regulation to their outcomes”
By Tom Nelson, Podcast, Jan 10, 2022
Time for an eye fixed examination
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 25, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Summary of the controversy regarding the “Iris Effect” as expressed by Richard Lindzen in his interview by Jordan Paterson.]
Demystifying “greenhouse gasoline” claims – Half 3
By Fred F. Mueller, No Tips Zone, Jan 27, 2023
“Measurements Present Cloud Results Are Actual, Far Stronger Than Results Of “Greenhouse Gases”
Temperatures Are Not Turning into Extra Excessive
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 21, 2023
In Honor of Fred Singer
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Jan 25, 2023
Defending the Orthodoxy
Third Order Draft of the Fifth Nationwide Local weather Evaluation (NC5)
By Workers, The U.S. International Change Analysis Program (USGCRP), Nov 7, 2022
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Geologists’ Flip in Anti-Science Barrel
By Ron Clutz, Science Issues, Jan 28, 2023
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Is the ozone gap actually therapeutic?
By David Whitehouse, Internet Zero Watch, Jan 25, 2023
“Claims by a UN-backed panel of specialists that the ozone layer is therapeutic and on monitor to full restoration could also be untimely and over-optimistic, Internet Zero Watch’s science editor, Dr David Whitehouse, has warned.”
Why Is Antarctica’s Local weather Thought of ‘International’ However Arctic Siberia’s Is Not?
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Jan 26, 2023
The Copper Conundrum
By Willis Eschenbach, WUWT, Jan 24, 2023
[SEPP Comment: Will the 2030s be the decade of the great copper panic?]
Are You Actually Towards Fossil Fuels? Learn This Earlier than You Reply
By Vijay Jayaraj, Actual Clear Vitality, Jan 24, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/01/24/are_you_really_against_fossil_fuels_read_this_before_you_answer_877363.html
Local weather Change: “We Have Met The Enemy, And He Is Us.”
By Fred Lipfert, ACSH, Jan 18, 2023
https://www.acsh.org/information/2023/01/18/climate-change-we-have-met-enemy-and-he-us-16808
“Right here I estimate the longitudinal relationships of world imply temperature with inhabitants, CO2 emissions, ambient CO2, and gross home product (GDP) utilizing 50 years of printed annual knowledge.”
After Paris!
Andrew Bolt On Davos
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 23, 2023
Video “When folks begin laughing at you, it’s over!”
[SEPP Comment: For this anointed group of people?]
Change in US Administrations
Joe Biden’s Opposition to Pure Fuel Hits Dwelling
By Ben Lieberman, Actual Clear Vitality, Jan 24, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/01/24/joe_bidens_opposition_to_natural_gas_hits_home_877359.html
Social Advantages of Carbon Dioxide
No timber in Davos
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 25, 2023
“Whereas we’re opening cans of carbon-neutral worms right here, the concept that plant meals kills vegetation is a part of a curious tendency of environmental radicals to develop into anti-nature.”
Looking for a Widespread Floor
Local weather Debate UK
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 22, 2023
Measurement Points — Floor
Hyping Most Every day Temperatures (Half 2)
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Jan 24, 2023
“Obtainable Australian Bureau of Meteorology parallel most temperature knowledge for Mildura – temperatures recorded from each a mercury thermometer and a platinum resistant probe on the identical day in the identical shelter – present no equivalence. They’re totally different,”
Jolly Odd what: Sydney Observatory report chilly spell damaged with assist from AWOL photo voltaic panel?
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Jan 23, 2023
Newest Imply Annual Temperature Information Present Tokyo Has Been Cooling For Many years!
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Jan 25, 2023
Iceland’s “Coldest December for 50 years”
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Jan 23, 2023
Altering Climate
California: Atmospheric river and misguided local weather concern
Opinion by Steve Goreham, Washington Examiner, Jan 23, 2023
https://www.msn.com/en-us/climate/topstories/california-atmospheric-river-and-misguided-climate-fear/ar-AA16DsCT
Close to-File Excessive Atmospheric Strain Adopted by the Large Chill [US Northwest]
Should you really feel some stress in your brow right now, there could also be a trigger.
Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Jan 26, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/01/near-record-high-atmospheric-pressure.html
“This uber-high stress has been suppressing water ranges, ensuing within the excessive tides at Seattle being far lower than would have occurred below regular stress…”
File Chilly In China
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Jan 23, 2023
““The temperature in Mohe, a metropolis in northern China’s Heilongjiang province, dropped to -53C (-63.4F) on Jan. 22…”
[SEPP Comment: Probably the threat of global warming will not sell well there this week.]
Altering Local weather
Heat Limits For Tree Progress Affirm Austria Was 4-7°C Hotter Than Right this moment 2000 Years In the past
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Jan 23, 2023
hyperlink to newest paper: New subfossil findings of wisent (Bos bonasus) in caves of the Northern Calcareous Alps (Higher Austria)
By Teresa Schaer, et al, Museum Burg Golling, Sep 9, 2022
http://www.museumgolling.at/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/9_Schaer_Wisent_published.pdf
From summary: “Since they [European bison (wisent)] wanted deciduous vegetation of their diet the restricted prevalence between 1,400 and a pair of,000 m above sea degree signifies hotter temperatures from the Neolithic time to the Early Center Age than right now.”
Altering Seas
Sea Degree Replace from Noosa Nationwide Park, Queensland Australia
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Jan 22, 2023
Atmospheric Strain Explains a Wimpy King Tide Plus Chilly Air Forward
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Jan 22, 2023
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/01/atmospheric-pressure-explains-wimpy.html
“Regular stress at sea degree is roughly 1013 hPa (hPa is the metric unit of stress).
“This week the stress is forecast to be round 1030-1035 hPa!
“Such excessive stress will cut back the excessive tide by roughly 7 inches.”
Peruvian sea ranges: IPCC vs the ocean
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 25, 2023
How are Earth’s islands being impacted by rising sea ranges?
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 25, 2023
From the CO2Science Archive:
“In gentle of those a number of findings, Ford and Kench thus rightly conclude that ‘governments of small island nations have to acknowledge that island shorelines are extremely dynamic and islands have continued and in lots of instances grown in tandem with sea degree rise.’”
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Antarctica Placing Brakes On International Sea Degree Rise! And: ‘World Local weather Information’ Makes Debut
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Jan 24, 2023
“New local weather science movies now in English – made in Germany: ‘World Local weather Information’ YouTube channel.”
Antarctica’s Lacking Warming: Japanese Syowa Station Exhibits Cooling Since 1977
By P Gosselin, Chart by Mrs. Heller, a.okay.a. Kirye, Jan 20, 2023
Agriculture Points & Worry of Famine
Right here’s Why The World Is Producing Extra Meals
By Vijay Jayaraj, The Every day Caller, Jan 21, 2023
https://dailycaller.com/2023/01/21/opinion-heres-why-the-world-is-producing-more-food-vijay-jayaraj/
[SEPP Comment: Evidence means nothing to zealots. Does it to the Department of Agriculture?]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
Media’s Misuse Of Scary New Climate Phrases
By William D. Balgord, WND Visitor Columnist, Jan 22, 2023
https://www.citizensjournal.us/medias-misuse-of-scary-new-weather-terms/
Speaking Higher to the Public – Exaggerate, or be Obscure?
Ross Clark Challenges Local weather Hysteria
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 25, 2023
Speaking Higher to the Public – Do a Ballot?
Up to date, The 97% Consensus Fantasy
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue, Jan 1, 2023
Video, John Robson
Speaking Higher to the Public – Go Private.
Partisan ‘Truth Checkers’ Unfold Local weather-Change Misinformation-Bjorn Lomborg
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 27, 2023
“You’ll recall that Agence France-Presse (AFP) are signed up Companions of the Protecting Local weather Now group, dedicated to creating certain the general public don’t get the actual information on local weather.”
Lomborg responds to polar bear abundance problem
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Jan 27, 2023
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
Meet The Group Behind The Media’s Local weather Hysteria
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 26, 2023
Hyperlink to web site: Protecting Local weather Now
By Workers, Accessed Jan 27, 2023
Increasing the Orthodoxy
No Matter Your View on Local weather Change, Pricing CO2 Is Dangerous… Why?
By Lars Schernikau, WTWT, Jan 27, 2023
One-sentence reply: … as a result of pricing one externality however not others result in financial and environmental distortions… inflicting human struggling.
[SEPP Comment: Are the effects of lithium and cobalt mining and processing harmful?]
Questioning European Inexperienced
Fuel-Fired Energy Is Now Cheaper Than Offshore Wind Once more
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 27, 2023
[SEPP Comment: In the value of electricity, price is secondary to reliability.]
Questioning Inexperienced Elsewhere
The Vitality Transition Confronts Actuality
By Daniel Yergin, Challenge Syndicate, Jan 23, 2023 [H/t R. Clutz]
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/energy-transition-four-major-challenges-by-daniel-yergin-2023-01
Funding Points
When the New Proper Meets the Previous Left on ESG
Anti-market ideology is a rising presence amongst some conservatives.
By Rupert Darwall, Actual Clear Vitality, Jan 23, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/01/23/when_the_new_right_meets_the_old_left_on_esg_876972.html
“Totally lacking from Krein’s account [Editor of American Affairs] of ESG is any notion of beneficiaries. Belief regulation, statutes akin to Worker Retirement Revenue Safety Act of 1974 (ERISA), and the courts require fiduciaries to behave within the sole monetary pursuits of beneficiaries. This mandate is anathema to collectivists of all stripes who need entry to trillions of {dollars} of retirees’ capital to pursue public-policy targets purportedly obligatory for societal enchancment and bringing concord between folks and planet.”
The Billionaires Behind The Fuel Bans
The hypocrisy of the billionaires who’re funding anti-hydrocarbon campaigns, together with bans on gasoline stoves. Pure gasoline bans are extra about class than local weather change.
By Robert Bryce, His Weblog, Jan 26, 2023
https://robertbryce.substack.com/p/the-billionaires-behind-the-gas-bans?utm_source=cross-post&publication_id=630873&post_id=98900349&isFreemail=true&utm_campaign=119454&utm_medium=e-mail
Bob Ward v Nigel Farage
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 22, 2023
“A part of their funding comes from Jeremy Grantham, however there may be additionally a big dollop of taxpayers’ cash concerned, amounting to over £6 million final 12 months, in addition to EU funding and grants from far left American foundations, akin to ECF, Rockefeller, and Local weather Works:”
“The local weather rip-off is huge enterprise!”
Governor Ron DeSantis Additional Prohibits Woke ESG Issues from State Investments
Press Launch, Ron DeSantis, Jan 17, 2023
“Completely prohibiting State Board of Administration (SBA) fund managers from contemplating ESG elements when investing the state’s cash.
“Requiring SBA fund managers to solely contemplate maximizing the return on funding on behalf of Florida’s retirees.”
The Political Video games Proceed
It’s not the politics
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 25, 2023
“It will be a severe error to underestimate politicians’ capability for glib and self-satisfied error.
“As so usually, our drawback isn’t a plot by hucksters looking for cash, energy or each. It’s misplaced zealotry on the a part of conceited folks.”
Governing is Ardern she thought
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 25, 2023
“Those that thought her a star, or a saint, as a result of she sounded good lamented that she had left as a result of she nonetheless sounds good. However the reality is that she bought nothing performed, not even emissions reductions, as a result of she didn’t know the way the world works.”
Litigation Points
Hyping Most Every day Temperatures (Half 3)
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Jan 28, 2023
“The Bureau can not know the precise quantity as a result of the mercury thermometer was eliminated on the identical time the probe was put in on the climate station at Cape Otway lighthouse. The mercury thermometer that was eliminated on fifteenth April 1994 had been faithfully used to measure most temperatures at Cape Otway lighthouse since 1865 – for 129 years.”
[SEPP Comment: Incompetence by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology or deliberate deceit?]
The ExxonMobil Papers
By Leonard Hyman & William Tilles, Oil Worth.com, Jan 25, 2023
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Vitality-Basic/The-ExxonMobil-Papers.html
[SEPP Comment: Fails to address the important issue: How much of an increase in temperatures will result from a doubling of CO2 (from China)?]
Subsidies and Mandates Without end
Norwegian Transport Firm Bans Electrified Autos Over Fireplace Fears
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 23, 2023
“Norway’s Havila Krystruten is one in all two delivery firms that sails between the coastal cities of Bergen and Kierkenes and says that it’s going to now not carry electrical or electrified automobiles on its ships following the outcomes of an exterior investigation.”
[SEPP Comment: And thanks to huge tax subsidies EVs are selling extremely well in Norway.]
Nationwide Grid able to pay prospects to chop power use as chilly climate continues
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 23, 2023
EPA and different Regulators on the March
EPA plans to cease 6 energy vegetation from dumping poisonous coal ash into unlined ponds
By Ella Nilsen, CNN, Jan 25, 2023
https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/25/us/epa-coal-ash-power-plants-climate/index.html
[SEPP Comment: Will the EPA approve new, lined ponds?]
Then they got here to your gasoline range
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 25, 2023
Vitality Points – Non-US
Ross Clark: The Nationwide Grid is falling aside because of Internet Zero
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 24, 2023
Vitality Safety Was The Most Necessary Matter In 2022
By Alex Kimani, Oil Worth.com. Jan 19, 2023
https://oilprice.com/Vitality/Vitality-Basic/Vitality-Safety-Was-The-Most-Necessary-Matter-In-2022.html
Mineral Privatization for the Lots: Remembering Guillermo Yeatts (1937–2018)
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Jan 23, 2023
Vitality Points — US
About Clear Vitality Disaster
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Jan 24, 2023
In Pennsylvania, Will Josh Shapiro Unlock Many years of Reasonably priced Vitality?
By Gordon Tomb, Actual Clear Vitality, Jan 22, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/01/22/in_pennsylvania_will_josh_shapiro_unlock_decades_of_affordable_energy_876786.html
Washington’s Management of Vitality
America Wants the Willow Challenge – The Biden Administration Ought to Approve It
By Clarence ‘Bud’ Albright, Actual Clear Vitality, Jan 26, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/01/26/america_needs_the_willow_project__the_biden_administration_should_approve_it_877993.html
Oil and Pure Fuel – the Future or the Previous?
What Has Been the Position of Petroleum in Human Progress? (Half IV)
By Julián Salazar Velásquez, Grasp Useful resource, Jan 27, 2023
“I’ve two choices: to stay silent within the final years of my life and witness the destruction of the world economic system, as simply occurred in Venezuela. Or alert many to the risk to blessed residing to keep away from a repeat of destruction. In clear conscience, I go for the second!”
Final of 4 components:
International Oil & Fuel Discoveries Up, As Drilling Continues Apace
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 24, 2023
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Proof says offshore wind improvement is killing numerous whales
By David Wojick, CFACT, Jan 23, 2023
https://www.cfact.org/2023/01/23/evidence-says-offshore-wind-development-is-killing-lots-of-whales/
Large wind generators sporting out sooner
By Andrew Montford, Internet Zero Watch, Jan 24, 2023
[SEPP Comment; Analyzing the data.]
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos
Reasonably priced electrical automobiles ‘not viable’–Kia Boss
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 23, 2023
Electrical Automobiles: Sq. Peg, Spherical Gap
By Duggan Flanakin, Actual Clear Vitality, Jan 24, 2023
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2023/01/24/electric_cars_square_peg_round_hole_877373.html
Electrical Autos Are an Ideologically Pushed Financial Misadventure
By Jerome Corsi, American Thinker, Jan 27, 2023
https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2023/01/electric_vehicles_are_an_ideologically_driven_economic_misadventure.html
Firefighters Involved About EV Fires
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 22, 2023
California Dreaming
California Metropolis Offers Up On 100% Renewable Plan
By Julianne Geiger, Oil Worth.com, Jan 20, 2023
https://oilprice.com/Newest-Vitality-Information/World-Information/California-Metropolis-Offers-Up-On-100-Renewable-Plan.html
[SEPP Comment: The public does not like “Smart Choice” energy bills?]
Mirror Mirrow on the Wall, Who’s at Fault for California’s Excessive Vitality Prices?
By Ronald Stein, The Heartland Institute, Jan 25, 2023
Environmental Trade
Previously Revered Organizations; Now Simply Foot Troopers Of Leftist Orthodoxy Enforcement
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Jan 22, 2023
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2023-1-22-formerly-respected-organizations-now-just-foot-soldiers-of-leftist-orthodoxy-enforcement
[SEPP Comment: The Appalachian Mountain Club opposes CO2, plant food?]
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
How Your Cup Of Espresso Contributes To Local weather Change
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 20, 2023
From the individuals who plan to regulate the climate
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Jan 25, 2023
“As governments around the globe depend on ‘settled science’ and fanciful economics to revamp every thing and have it work marvelously, it’s sobering to learn that ‘The Metropolis of Hamilton says it has uncovered one other sewage leak that has been dumping waste into Lake Ontario for greater than 20 years, with the mayor saying they’ll proceed to seek for different leaks underground.’ One other leak? Oh sure. ‘The revelation comes after the town reported in November {that a} leak found to be from 1996 had dumped 337 million liters of sewage into the Hamilton harbor within the 26 years it went undetected.’”
Memo to Minions: You can be allowed to eat crickets to avoid wasting the local weather says EU
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Jan 27, 2023
“The headline is a PsyOp all by itself. You didn’t know you weren’t allowed to eat crickets and powdered mealworm larvae earlier than. Rejoice in a freedom gained:
“Europeans now additionally allowed to eat cricket powder and small mealworms.”
[SEPP Comment: As long as they are not GMOs?]
Vegan menu leaves Cambridge council with leftovers
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Jan 26, 2023
ARTICLES
1. Buyers Plow Into Renewables, however Tasks Aren’t Getting Constructed
Potential $40 billion spending spree for renewable-energy initiatives hits slowdown in wind and photo voltaic installations
By Jennifer Hiller, WSJ, Jan 22, 2023
https://www.wsj.com/articles/investors-plow-into-renewables-but-projects-arent-getting-built-11674352404?st=9sqjtuxd9qhhywd
TWTW Abstract: The article begins:
At the same time as builders plan an unprecedented variety of grid-scale wind and photo voltaic installations, undertaking building is plummeting throughout the U.S.
Regardless of billions of {dollars} in federal tax credit up for grabs and traders wanting to fund clear power initiatives, the tempo of improvement has floor to a crawl and lots of renewables plans face an unsure path to completion. Provide-chain snags, lengthy waits to hook up with the grid and difficult regulatory and political environments throughout the nation are contributing to the slowdown, analysts and firms say.
New wind installations plunged 77.5% within the third quarter of 2022 versus the identical interval the 12 months earlier than, in keeping with S&P International Market Intelligence. New utility-scale photo voltaic installations seemingly fell 40% in 2022 in contrast with 2021, in keeping with a report from the Photo voltaic Vitality Industries Affiliation and analysis agency Wooden Mackenzie.
The decline belies monumental demand for renewable initiatives. The trade is able to launch a would-be constructing spree after final 12 months’s spending and local weather regulation, the Inflation Discount Act, prolonged and elevated tax credit for wind and photo voltaic initiatives and launched new incentives for inexperienced hydrogen and battery storage for the electrical grid. The success of the IRA, the Biden administration’s local weather targets and lots of state decarbonization plans hinge on including large quantities of renewable power into the grid.
Greater than $40 billion in wind, photo voltaic and battery initiatives had been introduced in three months late final 12 months—as a lot as the overall clean-energy funding for all of 2021, in keeping with the trade group American Clear Energy Affiliation. Giant companies with local weather targets are among the many most keen patrons of inexperienced energy, contracting for sufficient wind and photo voltaic capability final 12 months to energy greater than 1,000 knowledge facilities.
After repeating claims by renewable proponents, the article continues:
“Efforts to create a home photo voltaic provide chain to satisfy U.S. undertaking demand are anticipated to take just a few years. In the meantime, panel imports, 80% of which come from Chinese language and different Asian makers, have slowed following U.S. laws aimed toward cracking down on labor abuses in China. A number of thousand delivery containers of photo voltaic panels have been detained by U.S. Customs close to ports akin to Los Angeles, in keeping with some estimates.
“The wind trade has struggled to beat pandemic-related supply-chain and logistics challenges in delivering its large tools, however uncertainty over the main points of federal tax coverage has been a big issue slowing installations. Corporations are ready on Treasury Division steering to stipulate the specifics of how a undertaking can qualify for tax credit within the Inflation Discount Act.
“Even in battery storage, an trade which noticed extra installations in 2022, supply-chain issues have slowed some building plans by as a lot as a 12 months, builders say.
“A much bigger unknown is the time and value to get new batteries or photo voltaic or wind farms related to the grid, as grid operators and interconnecting utilities should research the initiatives’ seemingly impression on the ability system and any wanted community upgrades earlier than signing off on them.
“Grid operators have been overwhelmed by requests, and several other try to overtake their processes. There have been round 8,100 initiatives in line within the U.S. in 2021, up from 5,600 in 2020, every requiring a technical evaluate. Interconnection wait occasions rose to about 3.7 years for initiatives delivered between 2011 and 2021, up from round 2.1 years for initiatives constructed within the decade prior, in keeping with a research final 12 months by Lawrence Berkeley Nationwide Laboratory.”
After discussing inflation, the article concludes”
“Simply 23% of the power-generation initiatives looking for grid connection from 2000 to 2016 had been in the end constructed. Completion charges had been even decrease for wind, at 20%, and photo voltaic at 16%. Round 19 gigawatts of wind and greater than 60 gigawatts of photo voltaic had been withdrawn from interconnection processes in 2020 and 2021, in keeping with the nationwide lab.
“The knowledge of securing native permits additionally varies market by market, even throughout the identical state, together with the willingness of a group to welcome massive renewable power initiatives, Mr. Rand mentioned.” [A senior engineering associate with Lawrence Berkeley]
