The Week That Was: 2022-12-03 (December 3, 2022)
Delivered to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org)
The Science and Environmental Coverage Venture
Quote of the Week: “Any idiot can know. The purpose is to grasp.”― Albert Einstein
Variety of the Week: Lower than 1%
THIS WEEK:
By Ken Haapala, President, Science and Environmental Coverage Venture (SEPP)
Scope: From the time of Aristotle into the 19th century, the research of nature (physics, biology, chemistry, and many others.) was known as pure philosophy. Isaac Newton’s nice guide Philosophiæ Naturalis Principia Mathematica (1687), translated to Mathematical Rules of Pure Philosophy. There was one agency precept: nature was the final word choose. People may attempt to glean ideas, rules, and legal guidelines of nature by experiment and remark, however nature is the final word choose whether or not these human efforts are appropriate.
Thus, it’s ironic to learn within the widespread press that these insisting that nature is the final word choose of ideas discovered generally circulation fashions (now known as world local weather fashions) are accused of being anti-science, or at the very least not being local weather scientists. It’s as if local weather science shouldn’t be the research of nature, however a completely totally different type of research – unrelated to the pure world. It’s the research of an imaginary world.
The reviews of the Nongovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC) gave 1000’s of examples the place local weather fashions are inconsistent with nature and observations from nature. Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts gave over two thousand examples the place nature tremendously advantages from growing carbon dioxide. But, the reviews of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Local weather Change (IPCC) are so opposite to nature that many individuals concern that growing human carbon dioxide emissions will result in extinction of humanity and nature. Western authorities insurance policies on power are being set by politicians who’re exploiting this irrational concern usually promoted by “scientists” who’ve forgotten that nature is the final word choose.
David Whitehouse brings up issues in modeling The Indo-Pacific Heat Pool (IPWP), the world the place the western Pacific and Indian Oceans meet. This area consists of the warmest oceans on this planet and are part of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), a belt of low stress that traverses the equator, the place the commerce winds from the northern and southern hemispheres converge. This space provides rise to the standard El Niños and La Niñas – The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). It’s false to name any fashions that fail to duplicate this space “world.” (Scorching spots within the Pacific from submerged volcanoes are separate.)
Writing in Local weather And many others., mathematician David Younger brings up a number of the quite a few difficulties in overcoming the overconfidence in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) as depicted within the basic circulation fashions (world local weather fashions). He asserts “that a lot of the literature is affected by choice and constructive outcomes bias.” That is frequent in local weather research the place outcomes from nature are ignored.
Francis Menton reviews on an idea the teenage thinkers figuring out power coverage haven’t realized – the quantity of power storage wanted for internet zero. The billions of {dollars} used to subsidize wind and photo voltaic can be squandered with out huge, inexpensive, dependable storage.
Cliff Mass provides a easy graph exhibiting that sea ranges are falling in sure locations. The Biden administration is subsidizing the shifting of tribes from these locations as a result of it claims sea ranges are rising.
See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
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The Indo-Pacific Heat Pool (IPWP): Ecologist Jim Steele and others have introduced out that the Indo-Pacific Heat Pool (IPWP) is the supply of the chain of occasions set off by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) with its alternating El Niños and La Niñas. Tidal data present that the prevailing commerce winds can shift over a long time to centuries. If basic circulation fashions (world local weather fashions) have any hope of separating human affect from pure influences on local weather (or climate) they should do it right here. They don’t.
David Whitehouse writes:
“The warmest water on Earth will be discovered on the sting of the Pacific and is getting hotter due, in keeping with some reviews, [to] anthropogenic local weather change. However it’s not that easy. In actual fact, this very important area is exhibiting us simply how incorrect local weather fashions will be. The Indo-Pacific Heat Pool (IPWP) is likely one of the most climatically vital areas on our planet with a worldwide affect but, as observations and up to date research present, local weather fashions fail to elucidate its conduct with implications for all forecasts of local weather change.
“Waters from the western Pacific Ocean transfer into the jap Indian Ocean by way of many passages that thread the Indonesian Archipelago. Lots of these seas are shallow and straddle the equator leading to very heat water all yr. The IPWP is big, overlaying a floor space equal to that of all the USA, and is essential to the regulation of local weather globally.
The area is affected by monsoons and their seasonally alternating wind instructions. It’s the within the area of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) – a belt of low stress that traverses the equator. Right here commerce winds from the northern and southern hemispheres converge. The ITCZ is shaped because of the vertical movement of convective clouds, most of which [are] the rising part of the Hadley Cell, and of nice significance to world atmospheric circulation.
“It’s a area of change. Observations over latest a long time present a big warming of the IPWP and slight cooling within the jap equatorial Pacific, in step with strengthening of the so-called Walker circulation, and in addition cooling within the Southern Ocean. The relative heat of the nice and cozy pool within the western Indo-Pacific in comparison with the chilly tongue within the jap equatorial Pacific drives the Walker circulation within the tropical environment which by its interplay on the higher troposphere drives large-scale atmospheric Rossby waves that propagate into greater latitudes and influence local weather across the globe.
“The issue is that state-of-the-art local weather fashions usually predict that the Walker circulation will weaken, bringing enhanced warming within the jap equatorial Pacific, and warming within the Southern Ocean, opposite to what’s noticed. Sea-level stress (SLP) observations present a weakening of the Walker circulation over the 20 th century, although some preserve that the Walker circulation has strengthened since 1979 contradicting local weather mannequin hindcasts over this era.”
The article Whitehouse hyperlinks is titled “Systematic local weather mannequin biases within the large-scale sample of latest sea-surface temperature and sea-level stress change” and has been submitted to Geophysical Analysis Letters revealed by the American Geophysical Union with Harihar Rajaram editor-in-chief. Whether or not will probably be printed stays to be seen. Far too many such articles are rejected as a result of they don’t conform to the fictions generated from the IPCC and its fashions that fail when examined in opposition to observations of nature. The summary states:
“Noticed floor temperature developments over latest a long time are characterised by (i) intensified warming within the Indo-Pacific Heat Pool and slight cooling within the jap equatorial Pacific, in step with strengthening of the Walker circulation, and (ii) cooling within the Southern Ocean. In distinction, state-of-the-art coupled local weather fashions usually mission Walker circulation weakening, enhanced warming within the jap equatorial Pacific, and warming within the Southern Ocean. Right here we examine the power of 16 local weather mannequin giant ensembles to breed noticed sea-surface temperature and sea-level stress developments over 1979-2020 by a mix of externally pressured local weather change and inside variability. We discover large-scale variations between noticed and modeled developments which are most unlikely (<5% likelihood) to happen resulting from inside variability as represented in fashions. Disparate developments are discovered even in areas with weak multi-decadal variability, suggesting that mannequin biases within the transient response to anthropogenic forcing represent a part of the discrepancy.”
See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and Could 7 to June 11 TWTWs.
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Battle the Bear: One of many nice difficulties in bodily science is fluid dynamics and the shortage of predictability. After receiving his PhD in arithmetic in 1979, David Younger began an extended profession at Boeing. His bio sketch states Younger:
“has labored on all kinds of tasks involving computational physics, pc programming, and numerical evaluation. His work has been targeted on the applying areas of aerodynamics, aeroelastics, computational fluid dynamics, airframe design, flutter, acoustics, and electromagnetics. To handle these functions, he has executed unique theoretical work in excessive efficiency computing, linear potential flow and boundary integral equations, nonlinear potential flow, discretizations for the Navier-Stokes equations, partial differential equations and the finite component methodology, preconditioning strategies for giant linear methods, Krylov subspace strategies for very giant nonlinear methods, design and optimization strategies, and iterative strategies for extremely nonlinear methods.”
Younger’s publish “’Colourful fluid dynamics and overconfidence in world local weather fashions” is just too technical for TWTW however a couple of key factors can be made right here. The publish begins:
This publish lays out in pretty full element some fundamental information about Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) modeling. This expertise is the core of all basic circulation fashions of the environment and oceans, and therefore world local weather fashions (GCMs). I focus on some frequent misconceptions about these fashions, which result in overconfidence in these simulations. This example is said to the replication disaster in science usually, whereby a lot of the literature is affected by choice and constructive outcomes bias.
It cites the place the complete publish will be discovered with prolonged references then it provides the Background:
Numerical simulation during the last 60 years has come to play a bigger and bigger function in engineering design and scientific investigations. The extent of element and bodily modeling varies tremendously, as do the accuracy necessities. For aerodynamic simulations, correct drag increments between configurations have excessive worth. In local weather simulations, a broadly used goal variable is temperature anomaly. Each drag increments and temperature anomalies are significantly tough to compute precisely. The reason being easy: each output portions are a number of orders of magnitude smaller than the general absolute ranges of momentum for drag or power for temperature anomalies. Which means that with out great effort, the output amount is smaller than the numerical truncation error. Nice care can generally present correct outcomes, however cautious numerical management over all facets of advanced simulations is required.
Distinction this with some fields of science the place solely basic understanding is sought. On this case qualitatively fascinating outcomes will be simpler to supply. That is identified within the parlance of the sphere as “Colourful Fluid Dynamics.” Whereas that is considerably pejorative, these simulations do have their place. It can’t be pressured too strongly nonetheless that even the broad “patterns” will be fairly incorrect. Solely after in depth validation can such simulations be trusted qualitatively, and even then, just for the category of issues used within the validation. Such a validation course of for one aeronautical CFD code consumed maybe 50–100-man years of effort in a setting the place top quality information was usually accessible. What’s all too frequent amongst non-specialists is to conflate the 2 utilization regimes (colourful versus validated) or to make the idea that lifelike trying outcomes suggest quantitatively significant outcomes.
The primary level is that some fields of numerical simulation are very properly based on rigorous mathematical idea. Two that come to thoughts are electromagnetic scattering and linear structural dynamics. Electromagnetic scattering is ruled by Maxwell’s equations that are linear. The idea is properly understood, and excellent numerical simulations can be found. Usually, it’s potential to develop correct strategies that present top quality quantitative outcomes. Structural modeling within the linear elasticity vary can be ruled by properly posed elliptic partial differential equations.
One can assert that the IPCC’s basic circulation fashions (GMC) are “colourful” however not legitimate. Additional, they’re contradicted by what is going on within the environment. Later within the publish, Younger discusses Rossby waves. He states:
“The very best technical argument I’ve heard in protection of GCM’s is that Rossby waves are vastly simpler to mannequin than aeronautical flows the place the stress gradients and forcing is usually a lot greater. There’s some reality on this argument. The big-scale vortex evolution within the environment on shorter time scales is comparatively unaffected by turbulence and viscous results, though at finer scales the issue is ill-posed. Nevertheless, there are various different at the very least equally vital parts of the earth system. An vital one is tropical convection, a classical ill-posed drawback due to the-large scale turbulent interfaces and shear layers. Whereas normally uncared for in aeronautical calculations, free air turbulence is in lots of instances very giant within the environment. Nevertheless, it’s sometimes uncared for outdoors the boundary layer in GCMs. And naturally there are clouds, convection and precipitation, which have a really important impact on general power steadiness. One should additionally keep in mind that aeronautical autos are designed to be secure and to attenuate the results of ill-posedness, in that pathological nonlinear behaviors are prevented. On this sense aeronautical fashions could also be truly simpler to mannequin than the environment. In any case aeronautical simulations are tremendously simplified by quite a lot of assumptions, for instance that the onset movement is regular and primarily freed from atmospheric turbulence. Aeronautical flows can usually be assumed to be primarily isentropic outdoors the boundary layer.”
That is fascinating as a result of many “local weather scientists” declare excessive climate occasions are brought on by human CO2 emissions. Nevertheless, some are literally brought on by stagnant Rossby waves (such because the chilly Texas Northers) and excessive warmth occasions (such because the one within the Northwest US and Canada in June 2021). After going by subjects corresponding to “The Function of Turbulence and Chaos in Fluid Mechanics” and “Overconfidence and Bias”, Younger closes his informative publish with:
In my view those that retard progress in CFD [Computational Fluid Dynamics] are sometimes concerned in ‘science communication’ and ‘Colourful Fluid Dynamics.’ They often view their job as justifying political outcomes by whitewashing excessive ranges of uncertainty and bias or making the story good click on bait by exaggerating. Worse nonetheless, many act as apologists for ‘science’ or senior researchers and have a tendency to attenuate any issues. Nothing might be simpler in producing the precise reverse of the specified final result, viz., a cynical and disillusioned public already bored with the seemingly infinite scary tales about dire penalties usually based mostly on nothing greater than the pseudo-science of ‘science communication’ of politically motivated narratives. This impact has already performed out in drugs the place the general public and plenty of physicians are already fairly skeptical of well being recommendation based mostly on retrospective research, biased reporting, or slick promoting claiming obscure however enormous advantages for merchandise or procedures. Sadly, unhealthy medical science continues to have an effect on the well being of hundreds of thousands and wastes untold billions of {dollars}. The mechanisms for quantifying the state of the science on any subject, and significantly estimating the customarily excessive uncertainties, are very weak. As all the time in human affairs, full honesty and directness is one of the best long-term technique. Notably for science, which tends to carry itself up as having excessive authority, the hazard is for my part price addressing urgently. This response is demanded not simply by considerations about public perceptions, but in addition by moral concerns and easy honesty in addition to a regard for the lives and well-being of the customers of our work who deserve one of the best info accessible. [Boldface added]
Within the view of TWTW, because of the work of AMO physicists van Wijngaarden and Happer on greenhouse gases, prolonged by Howard Hayden to Planetary Warmth Stability, we don’t must get into “colourful local weather modeling” to ascertain an higher certain on how greenhouse gases affect earth’s temperatures and the way the environment influences planetary warmth steadiness. See hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy and http://www.sepp.org/science_papers.cfm
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Is It A Drawback? At COP-26 (2021) in Glasgow, the leaders of western governments participated in a dance of sugar plum fairies. Regardless of the invasion of Ukraine by Russia and subsequent cut-off of Russian fuel from Europe, few of the leaders have woke up from their goals, together with the US administration. The late Roger Andrews writing in Power Issues and Howard Hayden writing in Power Advocate have famous that changing to wind and solar energy requires huge, inexpensive, dependable electrical energy storage over lengthy intervals of time.
In 2017, Hayden calculated that about 11% of the time, industrial wind generators produce full energy. About 50% of the time, they produce 40% or much less. About 25% of the time, they produce nothing. Wind energy is unpredictable a number of days out. A winter excessive stress system over Europe can cease wind for a number of days when electrical energy is required probably the most. Larger wind generators don’t create extra wind, simply extra blowhards.
The World Warming Coverage Basis revealed a report by Francis Menton that clearly and systematically reveals how extreme the electrical energy storage drawback is. But, politicians and the final press ignore it. On his web site, Menton summarizes the paper. He writes:
The principle level of the paper is that {an electrical} grid powered largely by intermittent mills like wind and solar requires full backup from some supply; and if that supply is to be saved power, the quantities of storage required are really staggering. If you do the easy arithmetic to calculate the storage necessities and the possible prices, it turns into apparent that all the mission is totally impractical and unaffordable. The activists and politicians pushing us towards this new power system of wind/photo voltaic/storage are both being deliberately misleading or completely incompetent.
If you happen to comply with the information on this topic at a basic degree, you would possibly discover this conclusion stunning. In any case, there are frequent bulletins that this or that jurisdiction has entered a contract to buy some seemingly great amount of batteries for grid-level storage. The Report cites information from consultancy Wooden Mackenzie as to introduced plans or contracts for storage acquisition in all main European international locations, and cites different reviews as to introduced plans from California and New York within the U.S. The title of the April 2022 Wooden Mackenzie paper on Europe definitely gives the look that these folks have the state of affairs beneath management and know what they’re doing: “Europe’s Grid-scale Power Storage Capability Will Develop 20-fold by 2031.” Spectacular!
However that is a kind of topics on which it’s important to have a look at the precise numbers to guage whether or not the plans make any sense. On this state of affairs, you must evaluate the quantity of power storage that might be required for full backup of an almost-entirely wind/photo voltaic grid (with fossil fuels excluded), to the precise amount of grid-scale power storage being acquired.
Menton discusses the catastrophe unfolding in Germany, which a fallacious report by Wooden Mackenzie states Germany is addressing. From Menton’s report:
“In different phrases, the quantity of power storage that Germany is planning for 2031 is between 0.016% and 0.036% of what it truly would want. This doesn’t qualify as a critical effort to supply a system which may work.”
Politicians who dream of sugar plums rent consultants with related goals. See hyperlinks beneath Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power – Storage.
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Any Excuse to Squander? In a publish discussing altering climate circumstances within the US Northwest, Meteorologist Cliff Mass had an fascinating sidenote with an article within the Seattle Occasions. The article acknowledged:
“And on Wednesday, the Biden administration introduced $75 million in funding to assist three tribes, together with the Quinault, transfer to greater floor.”
“In 2021, the tribe accomplished its new Generations Constructing, dwelling to packages for seniors and kids. That yr, Kilmer and the tribe hosted U.S. Secretary of the Inside Deb Haaland in Taholah to debate the upcoming threats of local weather change for tribal communities and the necessity for future funding.”
The tribes are on the Olympic coast. In response to Mass, the tidal gauges present that the ocean ranges of the Olympic coast are falling (the land is rising as a rebound from glaciation). Apparently, an administration that believes there’s a local weather emergency has no want to look at laborious proof. See Hyperlinks beneath Difficult the Orthodoxy.
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Variety of the Week: Lower than 1%: Paul Homewood provides a easy graph that even a UK politician ought to perceive. In response to The College of Sheffield photo voltaic tracker, the full photovoltaic electrical energy for November 29 was 5.46 GWh, lower than 1% of the common 840 GWh used every day. Just about all of it got here between 10 am and a pair of pm. And politicians are subsidizing these and electrical autos? See hyperlink beneath Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind.
Science: Is the Solar Rising?
Secrets and techniques of Sunspots and Photo voltaic Magnetic Fields Investigated in NASA Supercomputing Simulations
Press Launch, NASA, Through WUWT, Dec 1, 2022
Difficult the Orthodoxy — NIPCC
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Bodily Science
Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2013
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/_template-assets/paperwork/CCR/CCR-II/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Organic Impacts
Idso, Idso, Carter, and Singer, Lead Authors/Editors, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), 2014
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/climate-change-reconsidered-ii-biological-impacts/
Abstract: https://www.heartland.org/media-library/pdfs/CCR-IIb/Abstract-for-Policymakers.pdf
Local weather Change Reconsidered II: Fossil Fuels
By A number of Authors, Bezdek, Idso, Legates, and Singer eds., Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change, April 2019
http://retailer.heartland.org/store/ccr-ii-fossil-fuels/
Obtain with no cost:
Why Scientists Disagree About World Warming
The NIPCC Report on the Scientific Consensus
By Craig D. Idso, Robert M. Carter, and S. Fred Singer, Nongovernmental Worldwide Panel on Local weather Change (NIPCC), Nov 23, 2015
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/
Obtain with no cost:
https://www.heartland.org/policy-documents/why-scientists-disagree-about-global-warming
Nature, Not Human Exercise, Guidelines the Local weather
S. Fred Singer, Editor, NIPCC, 2008
http://www.sepp.org/publications/nipcc_final.pdf
World Sea-Degree Rise: An Analysis of the Knowledge
By Craig D. Idso, David Legates, and S. Fred Singer, Heartland Coverage Transient, Could 20, 2019
Difficult the Orthodoxy
Earth can regulate its personal temperature over millennia, new research finds
Scientists have confirmed {that a} “stabilizing suggestions” on 100,000-year timescales retains world temperatures in test.
By Jennifer Chu, MIT Information Workplace, Nov 16, 2022
https://information.mit.edu/2022/earth-stabilizing-temperature-1116
Hyperlink to paper: Presence or absence of stabilizing Earth system feedbacks on totally different time scales
By Arnscheidt and Rothman, Science Advances, Nov 16, 2022
https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adc9241
[SEPP Comment: Worth repeating. Does not discuss that naturally occurring greenhouse gases are saturated.]
Pacific issues for local weather fashions
By David Whitehouse, Internet Zero Watch, Nov 29, 2022
Hyperlink to paper: Systematic local weather mannequin biases within the large-scale sample of latest sea-surface temperature and sea-level stress change
By Jnglin Wills Robert C, et al, Submitted to Geophysical Analysis Letters Nov 16, 2022
“Colourful fluid dynamics” and overconfidence in world local weather fashions
By David Younger, Local weather And many others. Dec 2, 2022
Clouds could also be much less climate-sensitive than assumed
Press Launch by College of Hamburg, Phys.org, Nov 30, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2022-11-clouds-climate-sensitive-assumed.html
Hyperlink to paper: Sturdy cloud–circulation coupling explains weak commerce cumulus suggestions
By Raphaela Vogel, Nature, Nov 30, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05364-y
From the summary: “Our observational analyses render fashions with giant constructive feedbacks implausible and each help and clarify on the course of scale a weak commerce cumulus suggestions. Our findings thus refute an vital line of proof for a excessive local weather sensitivity.”
Financial Evaluation of the 2022 Federal Clear Fuels Customary
By Ross McKitrick, et al, LFX Associates, Toronto, Ontario, Sep 6, 2022
A Observe on Obfuscation, the 2022 Local weather Report, and my Newest Movie
By Jennifer Marohasy, Her Weblog, Nov 27, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Photos of corals from the air, cannot see them, and photos from 3 meters down.]
A Look At Local weather Fashions: “Clearly Do Not Signify The Physics”…”Not At All Succesful”
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Nov 30, 2022
What Do The Present Local weather Fashions Actually Do?
By Die kalte Sonne, Frank Bosse, (Translated/edited by P. Gosselin)
Defending the Orthodoxy
International locations Current Local weather Ambition and Motion at COP27
By Employees, United Nations Framework Conference on Local weather Change, Nov 28, 2022
https://unfccc.int/information/countries-present-climate-ambition-and-action-at-cop27
Dimming the Solar to Cool the Planet Is a Determined Concept, But We’re Inching Towards It
The scientists who research photo voltaic geoengineering don’t need anybody to strive it. However local weather inaction is making it extra possible.
By Invoice McKibben, The New Yorker, Nov 22, 2022
https://www.newyorker.com/information/annals-of-a-warming-planet/dimming-the-sun-to-cool-the-planet-is-a-desperate-idea-yet-were-inching-toward-it?utm_source=pocket-newtab
Defending the Orthodoxy – Bandwagon Science
Local weather change: Wasted methane fuel ‘a scandal’
By Jonah Fisher, BBC, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.bbc.com/information/science-environment-63744757
[SEPP Comment: According to the chart, 48% of the methane comes from farming and 41% from waste disposal. The real scandal is that the authors who do not understand the greenhouse effect are university professors.]
Questioning the Orthodoxy
Don’t Be So Certain That The Local weather Extremists Have “Gained”
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-11-29-dont-be-so-sure-that-the-climate-extremists-have-won
“The present cult of the educational, journalistic and governmental elites suffers from the everlasting drawback of all central planners. They suppose they’re sensible — and in some methods they could be (excessive scores on SATs?) — however they don’t know in any respect the right way to engineer an power system that can work. All of us eagerly await for his or her deliberate utopia to crash and burn.”
NetZero impossibility level? Europe’s renewable wonderland now can’t make photo voltaic, wind, batteries or EV’s
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 3, 2022
Everyone is aware of: doing nothing shouldn’t be an possibility
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 30, 2022
“The PBO estimated that as an alternative of Canada’s financial system being 6.6 % smaller in 2100 will probably be… 5.8 % smaller. In different phrases the advantage of doing “one thing” comes all the way down to 0.8 % of GDP 80 years from now. And acquiring that sub-atomic sized profit by complying with Paris would price us excess of 0.8 % of GDP. So doing nothing is not only an possibility, it’s a greater possibility.”
[SEPP Comment: Report from Canada’s Parliamentary Budget Office.]
Good Information in Local weather Situations
My brief discuss on the 2022 Situations Discussion board
By Roger Pielke Jr., Nov 29, 2022
https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/good-news-in-climate-scenarios?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=e-mail
[SEPP Comment: A way to evaluate IPCC scenarios.]
After Paris!
“Local weather reparations” are immoral
The most well liked concept rising from the UN’s COP27 local weather convention is “local weather reparations.” That is an immoral concept that Congress ought to reject.
By Alex Epstein, His Weblog, Dec 1, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://alexepstein.substack.com/p/climate-reparations-are-immoral?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=513601&post_id=87751203&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=e-mail
COP 27 has no back-up plan to switch merchandise from oil!
By Ronald Stein, The Heartland Institute, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.heartland.org/news-opinion/information/cop-27-has-no-back-up-plan-to-replace-products-from-oil
[SEPP Comment: Unreliable electricity such as from wind and solar is useless for high tech manufacturing such as required for computer chips.]
Canadian Gothic
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 30, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Prosperous countries must be punished for the “sins of the past” to prevent future warming?]
Change in US Administrations
President Biden’s Power Motto: Not in the usA. Nor Its Territories
By Employees, Institute for Power Analysis, Nov 23, 2022
Barclays Coal Plan Exposes Attain of Biden’s Inflation Discount Act
The UK financial institution is appearing to section out financing to the world’s dirtiest firms sooner than beforehand acknowledged.
By Alastair Marsh, Bloomberg, Nov 30, 2022
https://www.bloomberg.com/information/articles/2022-11-30/barclays-coal-plan-exposes-reach-of-biden-s-inflation-reduction-act
One other Snow Occasion Friday Night time/Saturday Morning
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Dec 1, 2022
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2022/12/another-snow-event-friday-nightsaturday.html
Hyperlink to article: $25M from feds will enhance Quinault Indian Nation’s local weather relocation; right here’s how
By Isabella Breda, The Seattle Occasions, Dec 1, 2022
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/setting/25m-from-feds-will-boost-quinault-indian-nations-climate-relocation-heres-how/
[SEPP Comment: Mass exposes the phony sea level rise on the Olympic coast with the Quinault tribe being paid $25 million to move.]
Chevron can resume key function in Venezuela’s oil output, exports
By Daphne Psaledakis and Marianna Parraga, Reuters, Nov 26, 2022
https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/power/us-issues-expanded-license-allow-chevron-import-venezuelan-petroleum-2022-11-26/
Issues within the Orthodoxy
Opinion: COP27 failed, so why proceed with these UN local weather summits?
By David Tindall, et al, The Conservation, Dec 1, 2022 [H/t Bernie Kepshire]
https://phys.org/information/2022-12-opinion-cop27-climate-summits.html
[SEPP Comment: Begins with a false premise, “Climate change is an existential threat to human civilization and planetary ecosystems.”]
Switzerland, Going through an Unprecedented Energy Scarcity, Contemplates a Partial Ban on the Use of Electrical Autos
It seems which you can have battery-powered automobiles, or you’ll be able to have renewable power, however you’ll be able to’t have each.
By Employees, Eugyppius, Dec 1, 2022 [H/t CLINTEL]
https://www.eugyppius.com/p/switzerland-facing-an-unprecedented?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=268621&post_id=88017513&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=e-mail
Lecturers Slam Claims Biotech May Resolve the Local weather Disaster
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 30, 2022
COP27 Greenwishing: Progressive Discontent
By Robert Bradley, Jr, Institute for Power Analysis, Nov 28, 2022
“The Guardian (UK) declares ‘World nonetheless ‘on brink of local weather disaster’ after COP27 deal.’ This chorus, now in its fourth decade, is at odds with the official statistics about temperature and climate extremes—and the underside line of climate-related deaths. Local weather/CO2 optimism is merited to finish the open-ended authorities forays in opposition to inexpensive, dependable power.”
India shakes up world strategy to local weather change as G20 chair
By Saul Elbein, The Hill, Dec 1, 2022
“In the present day, the best challenges we face – local weather change, terrorism, and pandemics – will be solved not by preventing one another, however solely by appearing collectively.” Modi
In search of a Frequent Floor
Exploiters versus consultants
By Planning Engineer (Russell Schussler), Local weather And many others. Nov 28, 2022
Column: The world as we all know it ends if it may possibly’t discover its bearings
By Terry Etam, BOE Report, Nov 29, 2022 [H/t WUWT]
Local weather Change Debate: Bjørn Lomborg and Andrew Revkin | Lex Fridman Podcast #339
Video
Local weather Brawl Debate: Tony Heller vs Gerald Kutney
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Nov 25, 2022
https://realclimatescience.com/2022/11/climate-brawl-debate-tony-heller-vs-gerald-kutney/
Science, Coverage, and Proof
Netherlands To Shut 3000 Farms To Comply With EU Local weather Guidelines
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 29, 2022
“Why do western governments hate their very own folks a lot?”
By A. de Lange, J. D. Ferguson, W. A. van Wijngaarden & W. Happer, CO2 Coalition, 2022
https://wvanwijngaarden.data.yorku.ca/information/2022/10/Nitrous-Oxide-FINAL-1.pdf?x45936
[SEPP Comment: As van Wijngaarden and Happer have demonstrated, Nitrous Oxide has negligible impact on temperatures.]
Proof grows of pressured labour and slavery in manufacturing of photo voltaic panels, wind generators
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 1, 2022
Will Germany’s power coverage result in financial failure?
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 29, 2022
Fashions v. Observations
Is world sea degree responding as predicted by local weather fashions?
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 30, 2022
From the CO2Science archive:
“Thus it’s made clear that each one of those real-world measurements, as Parker rightly notes, are in ‘battle with theoretically derived ocean temperatures and sea degree modifications.’
“So who you gonna belief? … the fashions or the measurements?”
Measurement Points — Environment
NASA Cancels Satellite tv for pc CO2 Monitoring Venture
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 1, 2022
Altering Climate
Strongest Arctic cyclone on report led to stunning lack of sea ice
By Employees Writers, Seattle WA (SPX), Dec 02, 2022
https://www.spacedaily.com/reviews/Strongest_Arctic_cyclone_on_record_led_to_surprising_loss_of_sea_ice_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: File Arctic Cyclone of January 2022: Traits, Impacts, and Predictability
By Edward Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, et al. JGR Atmospheres, Oct 26, 2022
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2022JD037161
[SEPP Comment: From 1979, using satellite data. Why not use satellite data for temperature trends?]
No CO2-Induced Warming Pattern Identifiable For The ‘Whole Territory Of Italy’ Since 1948
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Nov 28, 2022
Ace Forecaster Bastardi: “One thing We Used To See In Nineteen Seventies”, Warns Of “Spectacular Chilly”
By P Gosselin, NO Tips Zone, Nov 27, 2022
A Triumph of Climate Know-how, the Subsequent Snow Occasions, and Energy/Airport Issues
Climate prediction expertise has come an enormous means over the previous a long time and yesterday’s localized snow occasion is a good instance of how far we’ve got come.
By Cliff Mass, Climate Weblog, Nov 30, 2022
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2022/11/a-triumph-of-weather-technology-next.html
Local weather change apparently makes floods much less extreme
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Nov 28, 2022
[SEPP Comment: “The tree of knowledge” tells all?]
Altering Seas
Drowning Maldives
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 2, 2022
https://realclimatescience.com/2022/12/drowning-maldives/
[SEPP Comment: Gone by 2018?]
Altering Cryosphere – Land / Sea Ice
Most detailed maps of polar areas ever created
Beautiful photos of polar areas are publicly accessible
Press Launch, NSF, Nov 28, 2022
https://beta.nsf.gov/information/most-detailed-maps-polar-regions-ever-created?utm_medium=e-mail&utm_source=govdelivery
The unbelievable energy of the ice that sculpted Europe’s panorama
By Employees Writers, Tromso, Norway (SPX) Dec 02, 2022
https://www.spacedaily.com/reviews/The_incredible_power_of_the_ice_that_sculpted_Europes_landscape_999.html
Hyperlink to paper: The intense but transient nature of glacial erosion
By H. Patton, et al. Nature Communications, Nov 30, 2022
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-35072-0
The Finish of Snow — Once more
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Nov 28, 2022
Profit From Sea Ice Loss Due To Enhanced Prey Accessibility
One other New Examine Signifies Polar Bears Profit From Sea Ice Loss Due To Enhanced Prey Accessibility
By Kenneth Richard, No Tips Zone, Dec 1, 2022
Hyperlink to review: Demographic evaluation utilizing bodily and genetic sampling finds secure polar bear subpopulation in Gulf of Boothia, Canada
By Dyck, Regehr and Ware, Marine Mammal Science, 2022
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/mms.12968
Jap Canadian Arctic has far more sea ice than regular whereas Svalbard polar bears take care of much less
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Nov 24, 2022
Polar bear specialist calls Hudson Bay freeze-up ‘late’ but bears have been shifting offshore 2 weeks in the past
By Susan Crockford, Polar Bear Science, Nov 28, 2022
Altering Earth
Keeling Curve CO2 Measurements Halted By Mauna Loa Eruption
By Employees, Massive Island Video Information, Nov 29, 2022
Agriculture Points & Concern of Famine
Local weather Change Decreasing Wh[e]at Yields–Newest BBC Lie
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 28, 2022
Science Reveals Why Cows Don’t Trigger World Warming
By Rob Barnby, CO2 Coalition, Nov 29, 2022
“Having overheard my unsuccessful pitch, the rancher instructed that I watch this video by Dr. Thomas Sheahen based mostly on this presentation.”
[SEPP Comment: Barnby gives a good, brief summary of the accomplishments of van Wijngaarden & Happer.]
The Nice Famine of the Twenty first Century
A cautionary story of our future local weather
By David Siegel, His Weblog, Mar 30, 2022 [H/t Paul Homewood]
https://shortfall.weblog/the-great-famine-of-the-Twenty first-century-bef10e21ed7c
Reducing Requirements
Local weather Hazards May Disrupt U.S. State Division Operations Abroad (interactive map)
By Employees, US Authorities Accountability Workplace, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.gao.gov/weblog/climate-hazards-could-disrupt-u.s.-state-department-operations-overseas-interactive-map
[SEPP Comment: A irresponsibly poor report of risk based on heat, wind, water stress (?), flooding, earthquakes (?) landslides (?), and tsunamis (?). Extreme cold is not a listed hazard.]
UN shakedown: Threats to record wholesome reef as at risk only a technique to extort “local weather” cash
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 1, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Yellow (Inexperienced) Journalism?
No, NPR, Local weather Change Isn’t ‘…Making the Climate Extra Extreme,’ nor Ought to It Be in Every day Climate Forecasts.
By Anthony Watts, Local weather Realism, Dec 1, 2022
NPR: Why Don’t Extreme Climate Forecasts Point out Local weather Change?
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 28, 2022
Speaking Higher to the Public – Make issues up.
Prime 5 Local weather Lies–Laurence Fox
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 1, 2022
Video
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda
Rooster Little Propaganda Dressed Up As Science
Written by Peter Ridd, Institute of Public Affairs, Nov 26, 2022 [H/t Eduard Harinck]
Speaking Higher to the Public – Use Propaganda on Youngsters
Local weather Conferences Are Failing By Design and Damaging Our Youngsters’ Psychological Well being within the Course of
By Mandy Gunasekara, Actual Clear Power, Dec 1, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/01/climate_conferences_are_failing_by_design_and_damaging_our_kids_mental_health_in_the_process_867799.html
Increasing the Orthodoxy
Funding in nature should double, UN says
By Saul Elbein, The Hill, Dec 1, 2022
Hyperlink to report: State of Finance for Nature 2022
By Employees, UN Setting Programme, Dec 1, 2022
https://www.unep.org/assets/report/state-finance-nature-2022
[SEPP Comment: Why does it ignore nature when estimating human contribution to climate change?]
UN Biodiversity Convention (COP 15)
7 – 19 December 2022, Montreal, Canada
By Employees, UN Setting Program, Aug 15, 2022
https://www.unep.org/occasions/convention/un-biodiversity-conference-cop-15
Talks kick off on world plastic trash treaty
By AFP Employees Writers, Punta Del Este, Uruguay (AFP) Nov 28, 2022
https://www.spacedaily.com/reviews/Talks_kick_off_on_global_plastic_trash_treaty_999.html
Questioning European Inexperienced
Germany Addresses Essential Supplies
By Donn Dears, Energy For USA, Nov 29, 2022
Probably not in regards to the economics, is it?
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 30, 2022
“However that evaluation could also be giving it an excessive amount of credit score, because the communists at the very least tried to be systematic of their considering (their drawback was reasoning persistently from persistently deranged premises). The greens tried to ram by an ‘Energiewende’ on the grounds that since different fuels are a lot cheaper than the standard variety they need to subsequently be backed closely whereas hydrocarbons are taxed or banned. No, wait, that’s not the punchline. It’s the setup.”
Destruction By Power Prices: Fivefold Greater Costs Trigger Common Resort, Brewery To Shut
By P Gosselin, No Tips Zone, Nov 29, 2022
“5-fold enhance in power costs – €400,000 per yr – forces traditionally situated brewery, lodge and restaurant to shut”
Wind Energy: U.Okay. Blown Off Course (Once more)
By Andrew Stuttaford, Nationwide Evaluation, Nov 28, 2022
Hundreds of thousands of rural households can be pressured to spend £13k on warmth pumps
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 29, 2022
Funding Points
A bit assist for a colleague?
By Kip Nansen, WUWT, Nov 30, 2022
Oil exploration companies warn of ‘full collapse’ of operations within the North Sea
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 1, 2022
“North Sea oil exploration companies have informed the Treasury that they face going out of enterprise as a result of 75% windfall tax imposed on them within the Chancellor’s autumn assertion. Andrew Milligan”
“Liam Halligan [reporting the story] misses the purpose. The shutdown of North Sea oil and fuel has all the time been the purpose of successive governments’ power technique.”
Bankers pour chilly water on purple scorching coal
By Sarah Mcfarlane and Clara Denina, Reuters, Nov 24, 2022
https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/cop/bankers-pour-cold-water-red-hot-coal-2022-11-24/
Editorial: U.N. local weather fund will turn out to be a cash pit if we don’t cease burning fossil fuels
Editorial, Los Angeles Time, Nov 30, 2022
https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2022-11-30/cop-27-climate-fund-fossil-fuels
[SEPP Comment: Identifying what it is intended to be – a money pit.]
The ESG divestment grows: Florida takes $2 billion again from Blackrock
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Dec 2, 2022
The Political Video games Proceed
Pure Assets Democrats search Inside paperwork on bribery allegation
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 2, 2022
“Two Democrats on the Home Pure Assets Committee are looking for paperwork from Inside Secretary Deb Haaland that they are saying may shine line on whether or not President Trump provided a pardon to 2 folks convicted of setting fires on public land due to a marketing campaign donation.”
[SEPP Comment: How about investigating Haaland for incompetence?]
Litigation Points
“Exxon Knew”
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 2, 2022
https://realclimatescience.com/2022/12/exxon-knew-4/
[SEPP Comment: While NOAA was predicting cooling?]
Puerto Rican cities sue Massive Oil beneath RICO alleging collusion on local weather denial
By Clark Mindock, Reuters, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.reuters.com/authorized/litigation/puerto-rican-towns-sue-big-oil-under-rico-alleging-collusion-climate-denial-2022-11-29/
Pop goes the lawsuit
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 30, 2022
“Nonetheless, the sight of Greta Thunberg suing the Swedish authorities for being planet-wrecking right-wing greenwashing brutes can’t fail to convey amusement to the world. And maybe a little bit of remorse to many Swedes who cheered for the face-eating leopard by no means considering it might eat their face.”
EPA and different Regulators on the March
EPA closes in on veto of controversial Pebble Mine mission
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 2, 2022
“The proposed Pebble Mine seeks to extract ore from the Pebble deposit within the southwestern a part of the state, the biggest identified undeveloped copper ore deposit on this planet.”
[SEPP Comment: No need for copper in the US; get it from Chile and Peru?]
EPA publicizes new biofuel mixing mandate proposal
By Zack Budryk, The Hill, Dec 1, 2022
Rewriting The Local weather At NOAA
By Tony Heller, His Weblog, Dec 1, 2022
https://realclimatescience.com/2022/12/rewriting-the-climate-at-noaa/
Proper there in black and white
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 30, 2022
“Though ‘The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service granted federal protections to the world’s tallest and heaviest penguin species Tuesday’ which is able to come as an important reduction aside from the truth that any [non-zoo] Emperor on American territory is one misplaced penguin.”
Power Points – Non-US
Siemens Energy CEO Confirms the Iron Legislation of Energy Density
By Robert Bryce, Actual Clear Power, Dec 2, 2022
https://www.realclearenergy.org/articles/2022/12/02/siemens_power_ceo_confirms_the_iron_law_of_power_density_867905.html
“And that is the place his feedback revealed what I name the Iron Legislation of Energy Density, which says the decrease the facility density of a given supply, the upper the useful resource depth. Bruch stated: ‘Always remember, renewables like wind roughly, roughly, want 10 instances the fabric [compared to] … what standard applied sciences want…So when you’ve got issues on the availability chain, it hits … wind extraordinarily laborious, and that is what we see.’”
The Tories’ wind energy delusion
By Matt Ridley, The Spectator, Dec 3, 2022
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/the-tories-wind-power-delusion/?mc_cid=0f00695edd&mc_eid=4961da7cb1
Westminster’s Mad Hatter’s Tea Celebration
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 28, 2022
Britain’s power price disaster and the Mad Hatter’s Tea-Celebration of Westminster
Internet Zero Watch Assertion, Nov 28, 2022
“The mental high quality of the UK power coverage debate is a shame to parliament, revealing each the ignorance and folly of elected representatives. Like Alice in Wonderland, it’s totally surreal nonsense; however, in contrast to Lewis Carroll’s masterpiece, it isn’t humorous. The British folks deserve higher.” – John Constable
£22.2 bn To Be Spent Upgrading UK Electrical energy Community To Make It Greener
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Dec 1, 2022
“Extra price to be incurred for the renewables push:”
[SEPP Comment: Government calling the squandering of money for unneeded wind, solar, and wave power an investment.]
Germany to get new Qatari LNG flows by QatarEnergy, ConocoPhillips deal
By Andrew Mills and Maha El Dahan, Reuters, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.reuters.com/enterprise/power/qatarenergy-conocophillips-sign-lng-supply-deal-germany-2022-11-29/
“Europe’s largest financial system, which primarily depends on pure fuel to energy its business, goals to switch all Russian power imports by as quickly as mid-2024.”
Germany Units Windfall Tax At 90%
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 28, 2022
First floating LNG terminal arrives at German port
The primary of a number of ships that can function floating terminals to obtain liquefied pure fuel imports in Germany have arrived off the Baltic Sea port of Mukran
By Employees, The Related Press, Nov 23, 2022
https://abcnews.go.com/Worldwide/wireStory/floating-lng-terminal-arrives-german-port-93844232
Power Points – Australia
Shh! Regardless of a massacre quarter for electrical energy costs, hated Brown Coal nonetheless sells at simply 4c per KWh
By Jo Nova, Her Weblog, Nov 26, 2022
Aussie Reserve Financial institution: Improve Home Fuel Provide to Cut back Inflation
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 28, 2022
[SEPP Comment: What a novel idea!]
Let the Excuses Stream: Aussie Federal Authorities Misses Emission Targets
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Dec 1, 2022
Power Points — US
Power Sense: Tucker Carlson (winter heating prices within the information)
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Dec 1, 2022
Save America’s grid!
By David Wojick, CFACT, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.cfact.org/2022/11/29/save-americas-grid/
Rolling Blackouts Looming For New England
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 29, 2022
“’At present, New England is in acceptable form concerning electrical energy, however the actual problem can be any prolonged intervals of time the place the temperature drops under 10 levels,’ Kelly stated. ‘The essential situation is the length of the chilly snap, day by day longer the state of affairs will get worse and worse. My expectation is that in an extended chilly snap they’d hold the blackouts as brief as potential to keep away from freezing pipes, in all probability on the order of three hours rotating all through New England till the temperature moderates.’
“Customers would obtain warning earlier than any such blackout, Kelly stated.” [General Manager of Groton Electric Light Department.]
Washington’s Management of Power
The U.S. Shale Growth Is Formally Over
By Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Value.com, Nov 24, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Power/Power-Common/The-US-Shale-Growth-Is-Formally-Over.html
Oil and Pure Fuel – the Future or the Previous?
Australia Ships First LNG Cargo To Europe
By Tsvetana Paraskova, Oil Value.com, Nov 28, 2022
https://oilprice.com/Newest-Power-Information/World-Information/Australia-Ships-First-LNG-Cargo-To-Europe.html
[SEPP Comment: Cannot be used in Australia?]
The place It’s At – Extra Gulf Coast LNG Export Capability Is On Its Manner. The place Will The Feedgas Come From?
Printed by: Sheetal Nasta, RBN Power, Nov 28, 2022
https://rbnenergy.com/where-its-at-more-gulf-coast-lng-export-capacity-is-on-its-way-where-will-the-feedgas-come-from
Massive Gun, Half 5 – British Columbia’s Montney Fuel Effectively Efficiency Continues To Soar
By Martin King, RBN Power, Nov 27, 2022
https://rbnenergy.com/big-gun-part-5-british-columbias-montney-gas-well-performance-continues-to-soar
Italy would ideally want 4 new LNG terminals, Eni head says
By Francesca Landini and Giancarlo Navach, Reuters, Nov 28, 2022
https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/information/italy-ideally-4-lng-terminals-123733580.html?guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEri1o0_FMep1Ce7O9d_CKks0MCDnmbyX70fZ_P8FlcediOTKhXsJhliA3dbMAnlcCfVUcwaZEfq0CRd5hFtQEbqO5DbI7jzYB9dYuf8QhOM8IKqhE8m7rVUdeNEQWYf0otWovJbMw7Ag0mtJv2U9UHWxzJxN_g3JadIczXGq1O6&guccounter=2
Return of King Coal?
Coal bounces again
By Arianna Skibell, Politico, Nov 21, 2022
https://www.politico.com/newsletters/power-switch/2022/11/21/coal-bounces-back-00069710
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Photo voltaic and Wind
Why Photo voltaic Energy is Ineffective in Winter
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 29, 2022
The exploitation of ‘inexperienced power’
Rich nations abuse poorer nations’ workforces and setting
By Rick Amato and Ronald Stein, Washington Occasions, Nov 30, 2022 [H/t Paul Homewood]
https://www.washingtontimes.com/information/2022/nov/30/exploitation-of-green-energy/?mc_cid=232c44ba14&mc_eid=4961da7cb1
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Different
Ultimate approval obtained within the U.S. – Hydro-Québec’s export mission to New York Metropolis: Inexperienced gentle from the Public Service Fee
Press Launch, Hydro Quebec, Apr 14, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Green New York’s solution for reducing CO2, hydroelectric dams across Northern Canada.]
Timera Take A Look At Hydrogen Funding Help (AKA Subsidies
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 28, 2022
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Power — Storage
The Manhattan Contrarian Power Storage Paper Has Arrived!
By Francis Menton, Manhattan Contrarian, Dec 1, 2022
https://www.manhattancontrarian.com/weblog/2022-12-1-the-manhattan-contrarian-energy-storage-paper-has-arrived
Hyperlink to paper: The Power Storage Conundrum
By Francis Menton, The World Warming Coverage Basis, 2022
https://www.thegwpf.org/content material/uploads/2022/11/Menton-Power-Storage-Conundrum.pdf?mc_cid=80a8bdfb6a&mc_eid=4961da7cb1
Different, Inexperienced (“Clear”) Autos
Magic Automobiles
By John Stossel, His Weblog, Nov 16, 2022
‘Virtually Unviable’ for Volkswagen to Construct EV Batteries in Excessive-Price Europe
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 30, 2022
“Take a deep breath and attempt to wrap your head round this. Europe has been closing nuclear vegetation and subsidizing wind and photo voltaic. Now they’ll tax wind and photo voltaic in an effort to “fund a €54bn client assist package deal.”
“Sponsored wind and photo voltaic are too costly, so Germany will tax it to pay for client subsidies on wind and photo voltaic.
“It takes a very huge authorities to be that silly.”
Well being, Power, and Local weather
Inexperienced Power Cabal Blind to Africa’s Medical Horror Present
By Vijay Jayaraj, CO2 Coalition, Dec 2, 2022
Timing The Well being Results Of Air Air pollution
By Fred Lipfert, ACSH, Nov 28, 2022
https://www.acsh.org/information/2022/11/28/timing-health-effects-air-pollution-16690
[SEPP Comment: Exposing some of the deficiencies in the mathematical nonsense of the Linear No Threshold Model.]
Environmental Trade
Local weather Alarm Scams Can Be Traced to Particular Pursuits
By Larry Bell, Newsmax, Dec 2, 2022
https://www.newsmax.com/larrybell/enron-kyoto-lay/2022/12/02/id/1098903/
Different Scientific Information
BP weighs ending its 70-year-old Statistical Evaluation of World Power
By Paul Homewood, Not a Lot of Individuals Know That, Nov 29, 2022
“The BP Evaluation is important for seeing what is going on to fossil gasoline developments worldwide. By offering the precise information, it has frequently proven the claims made by the renewable foyer to be falsehoods.
“It’s after all very damaging to the local weather agenda put ahead within the West that the remainder of the world has carried on growing fossil gasoline consumption and emissions. With out the BP Evaluation we’d have little apart from untrustworthy information supplied by official sources such because the IEA.”
Different Information that Could Be of Curiosity
Fixing The CDC
By Chuck Dinerstein, MD, MBA, ACSH, Nov 28, 2022
https://www.acsh.org/information/2022/11/28/fixing-cdc-16688
BELOW THE BOTTOM LINE
Autism And Child Meals
By Susan Goldhaber MPH, ACSH, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.acsh.org/information/2022/11/29/autism-and-baby-foods-16678
Hyperlink to report: Child Meals Are Tainted with Harmful Ranges of Arsenic, Lead, Cadmium, and Mercury
By Employees, Subcommittee on Financial and Client Coverage Committee on Oversight and Reform U.S. Home of Representatives, Feb 4, 2021
“The research didn’t decide causality; they recognized a correlation.
“Out of the 14 research on arsenic publicity, 8 (53.3%) reported a constructive affiliation.
“Out of the 37 research on lead publicity, 19 (51.3%) reported a constructive affiliation.”
[SEPP Comment: Given the legal advertising on TV, is anyone alive in coastal China?]
‘Practice Your Mind’ on Local weather Change? (debate, don’t assume)
By Robert Bradley Jr., Grasp Useful resource, Dec 2, 2022
“Within the New York Occasions’s ‘Local weather Ahead,’ Somini Sengupta just lately interviewed neurologist Ann-Christine Duhaime based mostly on her new guide, ‘Minding the Local weather: How Neuroscience Can Assist Resolve Our Environmental Disaster’ (Harvard College Press). The query she units out to reply (per Local weather Ahead) is: ‘Why we mortal people can’t grasp and act on the local weather emergency.’”
[SEPP Comment: The real crisis is in thinking there is a climate crisis!]
Child Names to Change due to …. Local weather Change
By Kip Hansen, WUWT, Nov 29, 2022
Declare: Psychiatrists Can Spur Local weather Motion by Flying Balloons Across the Planet
By Eric Worrall, WUWT, Nov 29, 2022
[SEPP Comment: Maybe they will be caught in a circumpolar vortex.]
Local weather hypocrite of the week
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 30, 2022
“However now that they’ve [COP 27 attendees] all flown dwelling to catch flights elsewhere telling us how marvelous they’re, we’ve opted for progressive darling Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern of New Zealand who simply broke that nation’s report for worldwide flights by a minister in 1 / 4. Her caucus racked up $1.2 million and she or he alone accounted for $329,000.”
[SEPP Comment: It costs big money to save the planet.]
Opinion: Abigail Disney: 125 billionaires management our local weather future
By Abigail E. Disney, CNN, Nov 29, 2022
https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/29/opinions/billionaires-climate-crisis-abigail-disney/index.html
[SEPP Comment: 125 billionaires control nature?]
Someplace over the rainbow
By John Robson, Local weather Dialogue Nexus, Nov 30, 2022
“To which Patrick Moore of EcoSenseNow responded by tweeting ‘A ‘research’ has discovered that local weather change goes to supply extra rainbows. That’s all properly and good, however what about unicorns and fairies?’ But when they have been actual, local weather change can be driving them extinct.”
Schadenfreuday Humorous
By Charles Rotter, WUWT, Dec 2, 2022
ARTICLES
1. Biden’s Soiled Oil Deal With Venezuela
Caracas will get a sanctions reprieve whereas the U.S. vetoes a mortgage to Guyana, a uncommon U.S. ally within the area.
By Mary Anastasia O’Grady, WSJ, Nov. 27, 2022
https://www.wsj.com/articles/bidens-dirty-oil-deal-with-venezuela-free-elections-guyana-environmental-reparations-strategic-value-pdvsa-11669579238?mod=hp_opin_pos_2#cxrecs_s
TWTW Abstract: The veteran columnist on South America states:
“On the United Nations local weather convention in Sharm El Sheikh, Egypt, the U.S. agreed to pay environmental reparations to creating international locations. Days later it emerged that the Biden administration would situation a brand new license to Chevron to renew operations in joint ventures with Venezuela’s oil firm, PdVSA.
“The U.S. authorities thinks you’re a idiot, expensive reader. And never solely as a result of it waited till Individuals have been en path to grandma’s home for Thanksgiving to let information slip of a deal to extend heavy-crude output from joint ventures managed by a dictatorship allied with Iran. Or that it expects you to consider that Venezuela is contemplating a return to free elections in alternate.
“Presumably you additionally haven’t observed Crew Biden’s effort to impede the event of giant reserves of sunshine candy crude from Guyana, a U.S. ally.
“Washington coverage makers sometimes make miscalculations that assist American enemies, undermine growth in a poor nation, or hurt U.S. financial pursuits. However to nail the trifecta requires a particular mix of ideological blindness and incompetence that’s mercifully uncommon. Nonetheless, because the administration’s remedy of Guyana demonstrates, it does occur.
“In a area that has been trending anti-American in recent times, Guyana, with a inhabitants of lower than 800,000, has been an unusual ally. Nestled on the southeast border of Venezuela and north of Brazil, the small English-speaking nation has apparent strategic worth to the U.S.
“Since 2015, when Exxon Mobil made its first oil discovery in offshore waters, a sequence of additional finds has introduced Guyana’s estimated reserves above 11 billion oil-equivalent barrels. On a per capita foundation solely Kuwait has extra oil.
“The story will get even higher as a result of the crude beneath Guyanese waters has low sulfur content material, the other of the tar that comes out of Venezuela. It will be laborious to dream up a extra thrilling narrative for a rustic mired in poverty.
“In a November working paper for the Worldwide Financial Fund, economist Rina Bhattacharya famous that the petroleum discoveries provide the ‘promise to rework Guyana’s agricultural and mining financial system into an oil powerhouse, whereas hopefully serving to to diversify the non-oil financial system.’ There’s ‘a momentous alternative to spice up inclusive development and diversify the financial system offering assets to handle human growth wants and infrastructure gaps.’ However there are additionally important ‘challenges.’
“The obvious drawback dealing with a poor nation that abruptly enjoys a gusher of {dollars} is the absence of the rule of regulation. Frail establishments are likely to gasoline monetary recklessness and corruption.
“Guyana wants all of the U.S. assist it may possibly get if it hopes to harness its newfound wealth constructively and keep away from turning into one other banana republic with oil. However because of Mr. Biden’s local weather religiosity, it appears as if the Guyanese must depend on China.”
The journalist discusses tasks to improve the Guyanese infrastructure essential to export the oil safely, then concludes:
“It seemed like a Twenty first-century fairy story: wealth creation, low-impact power manufacturing, environmentally cautious traders and photo voltaic growth all in a democracy aligned with the U.S. In a March interview with Guyana’s Stabroek Information, then-IDB President Mauricio Claver-Carone spoke in regards to the auspicious outlook: IDB oversight and transparency was poised to help in producing actual advantages for the nation somewhat than what has occurred beneath ‘Center Jap and African fashions which have truly seen growth stalled with the brand new assets and democracy trampled.’
“The U.S. vetoed the mortgage. Its reasoning was based mostly on August 2021 Treasury ‘steerage on fossil gasoline power on the multilateral growth banks,’ which says that the U.S. will ‘promote ending worldwide financing of carbon-intensive fossil fuel-based power.’ After two years of working with the IDB to make sure correct due diligence, the corporate had to return to the drafting board.”
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2. Local weather Change Summit Leaves Hope for Limiting World Warming
Governments at COP27 didn’t make deal for sharper cuts in greenhouse-gas emissions, however analysts say 1.7 levels is achievable
By Matthew Dalton, WSJ, Nov 28, 2022
https://www.wsj.com/articles/climate-change-summit-leaves-hope-for-limiting-global-warming-11669629480?mod=hp_lead_pos6
TWTW Abstract: The journalist goes by the standard platitudes concerning COP-27 offered in a sequence of TWTWs. To this, Ken Haapala submitted the next remark posted within the digital model.
“UN ‘science’ has stagnated because the Nineteen Seventies. Over the previous 40 years, there have been nice advances within the potential to measure and perceive what is going on within the environment. Most of those advances are from using satellites, backed by climate balloons. These advances embody measurement of atmospheric temperature developments, and measurement of fixing affect of fixing greenhouse gases. The influences change by fuel sort, focus, altitude, and latitude. The Nineteen Seventies considering of the UN is just too simplistic to know this advanced situation. It ignores these advances and depends on mathematical operations that can’t duplicate what is going on.
“Atmospheric temperature developments present a rise of 0.13°C per decade (0.23°F) from all causes. No local weather disaster right here. UN and US local weather scientists use the most recent computer systems, however their considering is so final century. If you’ll cease a column of Russian T-72 tanks, what do you utilize? A bazooka or an infrared guided (warmth looking for) Javelin missile that is determined by understanding the properties of infrared blocking greenhouse gases? Ask the Ukrainians.”
