Since September 1st, Houston has registered a mere three-quarters of an inch of rain, which is the driest begin to meteorological fall (September-November) since 1953 (0.47″). Extra just lately, 1992 solely noticed 1.08″ and the drought-ridden 2011 solely noticed 1.28″ of rain in that very same time interval. It’s the fifth driest begin to autumn on report.
As you’d count on, with yesterday’s drought monitor replace, protection of drought situations within the Houston space elevated by over 30 % week over week. We want rain. October is often our second wettest month of the yr (trailing solely July). We common over 5 inches of rain in a typical October. Hopefully we’re capable of money in on some rain probabilities subsequent week. In any other case, look ahead to drought protection to increase much more within the days forward.
At the moment
No rain within the meantime. Houston formally hit 90 levels on Thursday, and we’ll really feel a contact hotter in the present day. Search for low 90s and a little bit of humidity. Clouds will combine with some solar and haze in any other case. Pollen stays painfully excessive as a consequence of ragweed, and air high quality will stay on the poor facet within the morning through smog and within the late day through floor ozone.
Weekend
Saturday appears to be like pretty much like Friday in most points. Morning lows could also be a contact hotter as a consequence of clouds. Daytime excessive temperatures could also be a pair levels cooler, however we’ll see a great deal of sunshine emerge. Subtly, a weak entrance, which crosses the realm later Friday, will begin to usher in a reinforcing shot of dry air for the weekend days. We must always discover a barely extra nice morning on Sunday with decrease humidity through the day, regardless of highs within the nonetheless within the mid or upper-80s.
Other than it being a bit hotter than normal, all weekend plans ought to be superb.
Early subsequent week
Monday appears to be like so much like Sunday and Tuesday so much like Friday. Does that make sense? Nonetheless nice however heat Monday after which hotter and a bit of extra humid on Tuesday.
Mid to late subsequent week
On Wednesday, it seems we really get a legitimately robust surge of humidity into the realm, which can make it really feel extra like late summer season. Wednesday and Thursday appear unlikely candidates for “snug” climate. Search for upper-80s by day and 70s by night time. Past that, there are questions as to the timing and energy of a chilly entrance and the way a lot moisture it is going to provide. That can decide the extent of our rain probabilities for subsequent week. Whereas I’m eager for some rain, this isn’t more likely to be the drought-denter we’re searching for.
Tropics
Right here in Houston, we’ve no considerations. We’ve gotten some questions in regards to the Caribbean disturbance, which is now Tropical Melancholy 13. The official forecast for TD 13 brings it due west throughout the Caribbean into Central America, particularly Nicaragua by the top of the weekend as a hurricane.
Fortunately, that is transferring shortly and is abnormally far south, so hopefully that limits its depth upside and subsequent impacts to Central America. However for these of you touring to Cancun or Cozumel this weekend, you’ll be superb. These of you with pursuits in different Central American nations will need to monitor this storm’s progress. The following identify on the record is Julia.
