Wednesday, March 8, 2023
HomeWales WeatherWarming might elevate UK flood injury invoice by 20%, Say Make-Consider Laptop...

Warming might elevate UK flood injury invoice by 20%, Say Make-Consider Laptop Simulations


From NOT A LOT OF PEOPLE KNOW THAT

By Paul Homewood

h/t Paul Kolk

The same old scaremongering from the BBC:

Researchers have produced an in depth “future flood map” of Britain – simulating the impression of flooding as local weather change takes its toll.

It has revealed that annual injury brought on by flooding might improve by greater than a fifth in at present’s phrases over the subsequent century.

That might be lowered if pledges to scale back world carbon emissions are met.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/information/science-environment-64866058

In the meantime again in the true world, actual flood specialists have analysed historic flood developments, and located that the proportion of the inhabitants in danger has truly declined since 1870 in Britain:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-04253-1

The identical examine concludes that normalised financial losses have fallen sharply for the reason that Fifties throughout Europe as a complete, as has the variety of folks affected in England:

And a 2014 examine by Stevens et al discovered no long run developments in flooding within the UK, as soon as allowance was made for brand new home construct on flood plains; certainly there was a marked decline within the incidence of probably the most extreme floods:

image

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02626667.2014.950581

However the BBC prefers the make-believe pc simulations!

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