HT/Junk Science for the title.
Initially tweeted by Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) on September 29, 202
The NY Occasions article on linking Hurricane Ian to local weather change is attention-grabbing.
Their knowledge evaluation for Cat 4/5 begins in 1980 for the Atlantic with a 20 12 months transferring common.
Why not return additional?
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/29/briefing/hurricane-ian-storm-climate-change.html
There’s no statistical or bodily motive to provide a chart or knowledge evaluation of solely Atlantic hurricanes beginning in 1970 or 1980.
Now we have knowledge data going again to the nineteenth century, with affordable reliability again to 1945, particularly with landfalls.
Let’s seek the advice of the main authority on Atlantic hurricane analysis: NOAA.
They’ve assembled quite a few activity forces, assessments, and workshops to succeed in a consensus on Atlantic hurricanes and local weather change.
A extremely detailed web site is right here:
https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/global-warming-and-hurricanes/
There isn’t a robust proof of century scale rising tendencies in:
U.S. landfalling hurricanes, frequency of hurricanes or main hurricanes, or the proportion of hurricanes that attain main hurricane depth.
This conclusion relies upon a analysis paper in Nature from Summer time 2021 from the main local weather scientists in the whole area.
So, as a substitute of citing the clear and convincing scientific consensus, the NY Occasions substitutes their very own narrative. Yikes!
“What to Know About Ian and Local weather Change.”
Not a lot.
Initially tweeted by Ryan Maue (@RyanMaue) on September 29, 2022.
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